MLB Friday 4.22 Stats Insights: Brewers vs Phillies, Freddy Peralta & Ranger Suarez; Harper, Hoskins seek hits
Today's contest between the Phillies and the Brewers pits THE BAT's #17-ranked SP (Freddy Peralta) against the #49-ranked SP (Ranger Suarez). The rundown on Peralta tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 52.3% of the time and keeps hitters off balance with a slider (26.2%). Suarez is a sinker guy (44.7%) who brings a changeup as his most-trusted secondary offering. Advanced stats (namely, FIP) tell us that Peralta deserves something like a 5.07 ERA, compared to his actual ERA of 11.57. On that front, Suarez's ERA sits at 5.87 and his FIP at 5.03.
Former Phillie Andrew McCutchen has exhibited some bad exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 95.4-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls over the past 7 days.
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Freddy Peralta projects as the 8th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball as it relates to his strikeout ability, according to THE BAT.market
Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-lowest humidity on the slate today at 38%.
Matt Vierling is very fast, putting him in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.87 ft/sec this year.market
Ranger Suarez has been lucky with his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting an 8.86 K/9 despite THE BAT estimating his true talent level to be 7.46 — a 1.4 K/9 gap.
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