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Cubs’ Carlos Gonzalez argues with home plate umpire Nic Lentz after being called out on strikes during the fourth inning on June 27 (Nam Y. Huh)
Cubs’ Carlos Gonzalez argues with home plate umpire Nic Lentz after being called out on strikes during the fourth inning on June 27 (Nam Y. Huh)|Associated Press
MLB

MLB Friday - Albert Picks Cubs v Reds, Phillies v Marlins, Rockies v Dodgers, Diamondbacks v Giants; Hamels, Gray, Ryu, Greinke

Andrew Albert

Andrew Albert

Favorite Pick of the Day:
Cubs (-125) over Reds

A New Tide Pick of the Day:
Phillies (-145) over Marlins

Are You Sure? Pick of the Day:
Rockies (+175) over Dodgers

Pick ’em of the Day:
Diamondbacks (-110) over Giants

The Skinny:
Any time you can get Cole Hamels for -125, with the way he has been pitching the baseball, is a pretty solid bet. Sonny Gray is no slouch, but the Cubs are 8-1 in Hamels' last nine starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 6-1 in Hamels' last seven starts with four days of rest. . . . The Phillies might be back after a sweep of the Mets. But let's not forget, they were just swept by the lowly Marlins. I don’t think they forgot, either. The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter and Phillies are 4-1 in their last five after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. This goes against the Miami theory, but I think revenge is a large factor this evening. . . . Yup, I’m doing it again even after a loss Thursday night. There’s one stat that is alarming to me and speaks volumes. The Dodgers are 3-14 in Huyn-Jin Ryu’s last 17 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. That’s too large of a sample size to ignore the value in. . . . It feels like these two teams play every other week, and it’s always a pick ’em unless Zack Greinke is on the bump. That’s not the case here, but I’m still taking Arizona. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last eight after allowing two runs or less in their previous game and 4-0 in Merrill Kelly’s last four starts with four days of rest.