God's Tipster's Thursday Belmont Park pick: The 9th, NY-bred maidens run a turf route with mighty long shot
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Wednesday’s Race Recap from Delaware Park:
(All odds US)
Replays for Wednesday’s races from Delaware can be found here:
Race 6: 2nd@ 0.30/1
Race 7: 1st@ 4.70/1 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Annnd that’s why they run the races. In Race 6, Conspiracy Fact was sent off at 1/5 ridden by Carol Cedeno who almost flubbed a ride for us on a 1/5 shot last week. He looked to be moving well until the far turn when he didn’t draw off like everyone had hoped. He got into a dogfight with Brother Brad late which he eventually lost. In Race 7, Ocean City shot to the front and never looked back proving that was a key race he came out of at Keeneland.
Talk about suspenseful! Between two Monday photo finishes at 24/1 and 6/1 finishing second, it all came down to the final race of the meet but the month of May was officially a profitable one for us as Ocean City went off at an overlaid 9/2 to get us profitable for 3 of the first 5 months of 2023.
Let’s take a drive up north back to Belmont Park for Thursday’s races. Fast and firm conditions are expected. Let’s get to work!
Race 9: Mudville Nine - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 20/1)
Maidens go a mile and an eighth on turf in this race for New York breds. This was a fun race to handicap as there are several in here that can win but with so many of the top contenders preferring to run from well off the pace, I’m siding with a runner who will probably be closer to the pace. Mudville Nine has one turf start to his credit - he finished 9th beaten 13 1/2 which on paper is pretty ugly but after viewing the replay, that race wasn’t a fair assessment of his turf ability. He tried bulling his way to contend for the early lead but ended up taking back while checking early. He then settled nicely in behind horses and looked to be in perfect striking position just off the speed when disaster almost happened. I viewed the head-on and still couldn’t tell exactly what happened but he either briefly hit the rail or stepped in a hole and lost his footing while checking and losing all chance. His rider virtually eased him home after that. This guy has a right to be a turf runner as he’s by Hard Spun out of Fanfire making him a half to Glowing Ember (one of my favorite geldings bumping around the NY circuit five or six years ago. He too was a speedy turf sort and when he was on he could run them gate to wire which he did three times on turf in his career putting up speed figures that would smash these. Trainer Michael Trombetta generally does well with his turf runners, he’s had four works since his most recent start including three five-furlong drills (my favorite!) and he will be totally under the radar here.
Best of luck to all our members playing Thursday’s races from Belmont Park!