God's Tipster's Sunday Belmont at Aqueduct Pick: The 5th race is a turf route for 2yos, one with new trainer

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Saturday’s Race Recap from Belmont at Aqueduct:

(All odds US)

Replays for yesterday’s races from Belmont at Aqueduct can be found here:

Belmont at Aqueduct:

Race 1: SCRATCH

Race 9: 7th@ 14.00/1

 We were off the turf for Race 1 which meant that our first selection of the day scratched. In Race 9 I was hoping the tactics they employed with Hail To last time out would be employed again but they sent her to the lead and she faded by the time they turned for home.

Saturday’s Race Recap from Keeneland:

(All odds US)

Replays for yesterday’s races from Keeneland can be found here:

Keeneland:

Race 5: 8th@ 8.70/1

Race 7: 7th@ 5.80/1

Race 10: 4th@ 9.10/1

In Race 5, I was hoping Megacity could make the lead from the inside post and take them gate to wire but he was beaten to the early lead and had to stalk. He made his move turning for home but tired in the lane. In Race 7, Hardy Choice who was 15/1 on the morning line was 13/1 going into the gates and 5/1 when the gates opened took a TON of late money and led til the top of the stretch where he appeared to brush the rail while fading in the drive. In Race 10, Don’t Forget got the trip we expected for him and simply wasn’t good enough.

We’re going to close out the week with some racing from Belmont at Aqueduct. Fast and firm conditions are expected once again similar to Saturday. Let’s get to work.

Sunday at Belmont at Aqueduct:

Race 5: Stow on the Wold - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 15/1)

More two year olds racing on turf ! This time it’s runners bred in New York and super-trainer Chad Brown trains Bobby the Tank, who’s speed figures don’t exactly look imposing. Stow on the Wold (which I had to look up - is a town in England) is very well bred for turf and showed speed in his debut effort over a sloppy track. He was nearly 15/1 that day on debut racing for trainer Michelle Hemmingway and there must have been some quiet whispers about this one because based on trainer stats and workouts there was no reason this runner shouldn’t have been 30/1 or higher. It was interesting to see Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez riding this one first time out. New trainer David Donk can win with a turf runner winning at a 15% rate off a trainer switch. New trainer, new jockey, new surface, new distance and newly gelded I think this runner deserves a second look in his second career start.

Best of luck to everyone playing Sunday’s races from Belmont at Aqueduct!