RT's Thursday Saratoga Pick: The 5th is an MSW sprint for 2yos and a Pletcher horse may outwork the others

RT’s Spot Plays

08.18.22

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Saratoga R5|Post Time: 3:21 pm ET

Dirt 6 Furlongs|2YO’s MSW|Purse: $83K

For 2yo males making their debut in an MSW race, Bernardini, sire to 2-Childers (5/2), is 0/27. So, researching the others’ lineage, looking at the workouts of the rest of the field, and analyzing trainer results, I narrowed the choice to 6-Forbidden Secret (9/2), a colt by Outwork. 2yo colts in their second race with Outwork as their sire are 18% winners, not an imposing number, yet of the 11 that fit, only one did not improve enough numbers-wise to win this race. Trainer Todd Pletcher is 27% in this scenario, so at 9/2, the price and numbers are right to take a shot.