Christmas Eve Gulfstream Park Picks: God's Tipster handicaps four races, hopes you find winners under the tree

Racing at Gulfstream Park.

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Christmas Eve Gulfstream Park Picks: God's Tipster handicaps four races, hopes you find winners under the tree

Horses in the U.S. take off Christmas Day to enjoy some Hay Nog. They'll be back Sunday.

Thursday’s Race Recap from Gulfstream Park:

(All odds US)

Replays for yesterday’s races from Gulfstream are below.

Gulfstream Park:

Race 1: 2nd@ 0.70/1

Race 4: 1st@ 1.40/1 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

Race 6: 3rd@ 23.80/1

Race 7: 4th@ 3.30/1

Our Thursday began with La Bokaina going off at 3/5 odds off a 5/2 morning line we knew wouldn’t hold up. She plotted a wide trip while Brody’s Causeway got a dream run up the rail for an easy win. La Bokaina salvaged second place. In Race 3, Ubiquitous pressed the early pace and turned back a challenge from Frosted Faith to secure the win. In Race 6, our first time starter - Drifaros sat off the pace, moved into contention and was rolling late to juuusssttt miss second place at nearly 24/1 odds. Our final race of the day was Race 7 where Creative Cloud stalked the pace but wasn’t able to run down Raise the Rent.

A first, a second a third and a fourth place finish from four selections on the day.

We will remain at Gulfstream Park for their Christmas Eve race card on Friday. Once again we’re expecting sunny skies and mild conditions. Let’s deck the halls, jingle those bells and win some Christmas money. It’s always nice to have some action while you’re exchanging gifts with your Aunt Tilly.

Christmas Eve picks for Gulfstream Park:

Race 2: Unbridled Chrome - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 8/1)

Two-year-old claiming level fillies navigate a mile - a distance that’s undoubtedly going to be too far for a few of them. Unbridled Chrome’s most recent race replay caught my eye. She was stuck behind horses running a slow pace, switched out in the lane and surged past the tired leaders to break her maiden. The most impressive thing about the win was that she ran her final 1/8th of a mile in a wicked fast (for the level) 12.67 seconds. For perspective, one day earlier they ran a starter allowance race and a stakes race at the same distance and neither race had a runner produce such a fast split. This includes Make it Big (who finished in 13.01 seconds) who subsequently won the Springboard Mile. Interesting at a price, especially at the mile distance.

Race 5: Aries Reigns - 1 pt win - US Morning Line Odds: 8/1)

Maiden claimers go a mile and a sixteenth on synthetic and this is a pretty weak looking group. Most handicappers will gravitate towards Tang who debuts for Christophe Clement who currently has a win percentage of 43% and does well with 2yos, however he only wins with 13% of his first time starters in maiden claiming races and he almost never wins when Emisial Jaramillo rides for him. Aries Reigns is who I’m siding with. This runner debuts for trainer Elizabeth Dobles who wins at a WICKED 28% with her runners on a synthetic surface (with a sample size of 25). She also does quite well with two-year-olds, has won with a first time starter in a maiden claiming race earlier this year and will offer decidedly more value than the firster who’s likely to be favored in here.

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Race 7: Yes I’m a Beast - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 3/1)

Lower level claiming sprinters square off here and I love it when we find a mismatch and I feel like that’s the case here. Yes I’m a Beast has the top speed figure at the distance and on this surface by a full 17 points over his next closest competitor. Place runner from his most recent start came back to win his next start with a 15 point improvement on speed figures. The last time this runner was at a claiming level similar to today, he won by nearly 14 lengths. Value at 3/1 if you can lock in those odds. Here in the States I have a feeling he’ll be closer to 1/1.

Race 10: Malthael - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 8/1)

The H. Allen Jerkens Stakes will be run at the rare marathon distance of two miles on turf. Trainer Mike Maker has made a habit of claiming turf horses from other trainers and stretching them out to these marathon distances and Malthael is one he’s already improved. He claimed this runner earlier this year for $35k and has had a win and a few tough losses with him but he always seems to run his race. His best thus far has been at the longest distance he’s ever run - 1 1/2 miles where he earned the top speed figure of his career. Today he adds another four furlongs to that distance but with Galileo breeding on top and AP Indy breeding below, I’m not worried about his ability to get the distance. Always runs his race and has enough tactical speed to stay close. Will offer value at 8/1.

Best of luck to everyone playing Friday’s races from Gulfstream Park.

A kind reminder that we have no racing in the US on Saturday - Christmas Day so there will be no picks tomorrow. We will be back with exciting races from Santa Anita on Sunday. I wish you and your families a happy, safe and blessed holiday season.

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