RT's Tuesday Maiden America looks at the 4th and 7th MSW horse races at Mahoning Valley, with breeze figures
Maiden America 2.09.21
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Breeze Fig’s courtesy of Data Track International
BreezeFigs are calculated separately for colts and fillies, and for each breeze distance (one eighth, a quarter mile, three-eighths, sometimes half a mile) and surface (dirt, synthetic, turf) for each sex.
There are four Groups:
G1: Horses qualifying on all Speed, Stride Length and other proprietary numbers;
G2: Horses qualifying on all but one of the above factors;
G3: Horses that qualify on one of the above factors;
G4: Horses that are non-qualifiers on any of the above factors
MVR 4th – 20K MSW
3yo’s going 6f
Both #9 Without Passport (15/1) and #3 Mr. Makoo (15/1) have started off in maiden claiming races with each having only one race under their belt – a $12.5K claimer. Now each moves up to MSW and with a race under their respective belts and Lasix, improvement is expected. However, the ranch is not going to be mortgaged for either. The bet of interest is first time starter, #2 Aintgottaclue (8/1). His dam won by eight lengths in her debut and followed up with another win in a claimer. His sire has had 51 horses and 11 of those have won at first asking…and in much tougher company. Evidently there’s enough of opinion of this colt to attract 21% Luis Rivera, and based on the, ahem, level of competition, his chances look good. Mr. Makoo is going to work his way into the wager today given his score at Fasig in June and getting Bocachica to ride at CT on debut and today Erik Barbaran. Additionally, #1 Diamond Patriot (6/1) will get exotic play today. The rest? We’ve seen their best and it ain’t pretty.
MVR 7th - $20K MSW
3yo’s going 6f
#2 Gun Factor (5/2) is a first timer who has put in some particularly good works, including a recent 1:01flat from the gate. How that will translate to six furlongs and today’s conditions will be interesting to watch. #8 Namath (20/1) according to Frank Mitchell of Data Track International, regarding their June testing, “My thoughts on the last two BF horses are 1) sale class is only moderate at OBS June because it gets the cheaper horses, as well as the horses that the breeze-up trainers know are slow; 2) horses that have some ability but get hurt for one reason or another often go in June (Timonium also), and that is a really tricky issue because if a horse gets hurt that quickly and that early, how is it going to last long or have much soundness? 3) horses breeze a furlong for a reason. It's the added distance that separates them. The shorter they go, the less there is to show their faults of motion.”
That said, Namath did his workout at two furlongs and received a Group 1 rating and had the highest that day. Furthermore, his stride length is above average, so if he can put it all together in this, his fourth race, he should be competitive. #6 Landon’s Miracle (10/1) posted a solid test number versus tougher and in his debut, he ran up to chase the lead, got within ½ length and tired at the turn. Look for better today. #9 Frosted White Face (20/1) debuted at CT ten days ago and did not do much. He will get the added benefit of second Lasix and takes a drop in class. Stretching out from his last should not be an issue and he will be competitive today. #5 Happilea (4/1) is the choice. He debuted a month ago, took the lead into the stretch and tired. Given the absence of speed in this race, he will be the lone one and Luis Rivera will watch the rest fall in behind as they try, unsuccessfully, to catch him.
