Monday at Parx Racing: RT picks the 5th and 7th using the SmartCap system
We're looking at Parx racing today where the weather is going to be sunny and 90°.
Parx Race 5
Post time 2:43 pm, $7.5K Starter Allowance for 3yo+ fillies and mares NW$ going 6F
Plenty of early speed in this race as all seven are front runners. Two of these ladies are going for three wins-in-a-row with #7 Spanky (5/2) stepping up in class after spanking the last two at the $5K level, and #4 Charity Stripe (3/1) steps up to a higher claiming level after being dominant on the front end in her last two. #3 Coupella (7/2) has our best speed, class, best last two cumulatively, and best last. Stay Thirsty mare is third off the layoff, set a clear pace in the last and tired in the stretch. She is racing today versus similar and is going to be keen to set an early pace and will be briskly challenged. #5 Love On Fire (9/2) has next best overall speed and class and best money per race at the track, this year and for her lifetime. Each of those averages are $10K with Spanky coming in second bringing in $8.7K per at the track, $6.3k per race this year and $7.4K in her lifetime. #2 Tapete Claire (5/1) bobbled at the start for her first off the claim for Jamie Ness, ran up to contention and then tired in the stretch. Another with good early speed and a turn back in distance today will be a benefactor for this Tapizar mare. Solid earnings per race this year of $6K per race and a trainer who is 27% with jockey Ruben Silvera is a strong contender. #6 Krissy’s Manicure (15/1) has next best last, co-best last two cumulatively and is an interesting sort. She was eased three back, returned to this level 3.5 months later, taken out for air, so to speak and the entered again a month ago. In that race, she chased the pace to within a head on the backstretch before eventually tiring and collecting a fourth place check. Digging a little deeper into her pp’s, she is the closer in this race that I was looking for. Her efforts last winter at this level where she chased the pace and roared from the top of the stretch makes her a live longshot.
My pick: I am going to take #6 Krissy’s Manicure on top and to place. I am also going to (after watching the toteboard) play her and Coupella on top with Spanky and Tapete Claire in the mix.
Parx Race 7
Post time 3:27 pm, $40K Allowance for 3yo+ NWx or NW2 going one mile and seventy yards. Numbers-wise, this is a competitive eight horse field with #3 Risque Rebel (12/1) has SmartCap/Equibase overall best class and second best overall speed. Although the numbers tell one story, the results tell another. This gelding has not run a good race in his last two, so he’s a pass/wait and watch. #5 Flat Out Beautiful (5/2) has our best last, best overall speed and second best class. His record at Parx of 7:4-1-1 for $85K, as well as 3:1-1-0 for $28K at the distance, coupled with 20% route winner Frankie Pennington, makes him the one to watch. #7 Powerful Venezuela (3/1) is coming off a finish line victory by a head against similar company, returns Ruben Silvera (20% wins in routes), has co second best last numbers and a healthy 9:2-0-2 record at Parx. This son of Poseidon’s Warrior is in solid condition yet tends to dump after a good race. Pass. #6 Grit’n’grind (8/1) turned in a 91 Equibase number in his last back in March and every horse from that race has come up empty in their next. Pass. #8 Yes It’s Roo (7/2) has second best last and third best overall speed and class. He broke his maiden at first asking versus open company and moved into the allowance ranks immediately. Since that time, this lightly raced 4yo has been competitive in all and maybe today is his breakout performance?
My pick: I’m going with the fave, #5 Flat Out Beautiful. Frankie Pennington opted to take him over Powerful Venezuela and that sends the message.
Follow me @RtsSpot for more.
If you are interested in getting more daily evaluations, please email SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.
