RT and SmartCap pick Monday's 10th and 11th races at Parx
RT Report 07.13.2020
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Took a couple of days off to get the noggin’ clear after poo-poo’ing the bed of late.
$96 in bets and $58.80 returned for a -26.53% roi.
Today we are going to Parx for two races. The weather should be hot and 90˚
Race 10 - $40K Allowance for 3yo NWx or NW2 at 1 mile
Equibase/SmartCap has turned up 1a Informative (8/1) with best class, best last, best last two cumulatively and near best overall speed. It’s primarily due from the company he’s raced against. None of his past three have been a good race, so for the exotic bettor who believes a class drop from The Ohio Derby to this is advantageous, go for it.
#6 Admiral Eastwood (9/2) has near best speed and second best overall class. Ran a good race two back, then a month later dogged it. Has been on the bench for trainer Robert Reid, who is only 5% on returning layoffs, yet he is 50% with adding blinkers and this guy has been working well of late – 5f in 1:01 and 4f in :47.3.
#3 Irish Cork (6/5) has best overall speed and a close best last. He has had several good races in a row yet has not found the finish line at Parx – and has taken a ton of money. 4:0-3-1 to be exact. Nevertheless, this race is devoid of early speed and wily Frankie Pennington will be able to exploit that.
#4 Perfect Daydream (20/1) will press the pace and eventually fade off. Trainer Leslye Bouchard is 13% from sprint to routes and 13 % moving up in class. It would be wise to include this colt in your exotics as he is in solid form having just won a $20K aoc on June 24th
I’m going to take a shot on #6 Admiral Eastwood
Race 11 - $7.5 Starter Allowance for 3yo+ NW$ or NW3 going 5.5F
#10 Barcode (9/2) just smoked the same level twelve days ago here as the odds on at a much shorter distance. I question the reason for this turnback from seven furlongs to five and a half, certainly after such a short time and at the same level. The only explanation that I can reason is he has never carried 126 lbs and the impost may be the reason. He wants longer and this may not be the best spot.
#1 Tattered (5/2) gets best overall speed, class and second best last. He just ran a good race two weeks ago, taking the lead then trailing off. That was 6f and this cutback makes sense. He is carrying the same weight as last and will be a threat.
#7 Fran’s Warrior (6/1) has best overall class and speed and just surfaced from a five month layoff. He ran a good race last out, having chased the leaders before tiring. Getting a five pound weight break will be an advantage and his record of 3:1-0-0 at Parx is noteworthy.
#6 High Rider (7/2) just circled the field at Delaware in a $6.25 claimer for NW2 and moves up. Trainer Kieron Magee 16% in class up, 50% with jockey Roberto Alvarado and 24% when winning last. Although an excellent race last out and a horse that is in form, the Delaware surface is much different than Parx and the same trip with five extra pounds is doubtful.
I am going with #1 Tattered. The good race after a layoff and the inside post will be an advantage.