The weather is going to be hot and in the low 90’s. First post time is 12:55 pm EDT
Yesterday, SmartCap had all three races accurate; however, I failed at making the correct choices. In the contest pick, my selection, #5 Wise Jude, decided to finally run in the stretch, which was way too late.
Today, we are heading back to Parx. The weather is going to be hot and in the low 90’s.
$25K Starter Allowance for 3yo+ NW$ & NW2 going one mile and seventy yards
With Equibase speed and class figures, SmartCap has #1 Aspen Extreme (6/5) getting best overall speed and near best overall class. He also has co-best last race and the best race two back. Marcos Zulueta, one of the juicers associated with Navarro and Servis, claimed this gelding and ran him in two races. His numbers were the best of his career under Zulueta’ s tutelage and now that Zulueta is out of the picture, you have to wonder if he is worth taking a risk on today.
#6 Jane’s Factor (10/1) has best overall class and near best speed along with co-best last and best race three back. Trainer Lou Linder 25% with horses returning after 2-6 months and 26% with Ruben Silvera in the irons. Dropping out of allowance company after three tries today, and three subpar efforts, he has had five works since, and they’ve been nothing to write home to mom about. On the asset side of the ledger, he has good early zip and the time off may be welcomed.
#4 Mr. Classical (9/2) if workouts signal readiness, then this is your guy. May 5th, best of 119 horses getting a :47.5 for 4f, May 29th, 5f in 1:01.4 and June 9th, 5f in 1:01.7. Dropping down to a class that he can handle, look for this son of Bernadini to press the pace and come flying in the stretch. Trainer Philip Aristone 2-4 of late and 22% with jockey Anthony Salgado.
My Pick: #4 Mr. Classical $7/w $13/p for the contest
$7.5K Starter Allowance for 3yo+ NW$ & NW2 going 5.5f
#1 Kinetic Strike (8/1) has best overall class, second best overall speed and best last. Claimed twice in as many races, trainer Everton Smith is 25% off the claim and 33% with jockey Silvestre Gonzalez. He’s had three works that were nothing stellar and if intent is what’s to be read in that, perhaps the slow down is an attempt to train the front running style and summarily fading pattern that this horse has had.
#4 Off The Mark (5/1) has best two races cumulatively, second best last, and a very close overall best speed. Jockey Luis Ocasio is 4-8 in the past ten days and 25% with trainer Alex Martinez. Races two and three back, he went along decently in off track conditions. Dropped in price a month later, he came out well to set the pace before tiring. That was in March and if memory serves, the track did not play to speed.
#9 Barcode (5/2) has best overall speed and best race two back. 1:27 at Parx? No thank you.
#7 Vixsinsfantastfox (7/2) is going to take a lot of money with Pennington/Ness connections. Given the fact that it took 12 races before breaking his maiden, then moving up to $7.5K claimers that were NW2l and summarily dumping, I’m not a buyer.
My Pick: #1 Kinetic Strike
$12.5K Starter Allowance for 3yo+ NW$ & NW2 going a mile and seventy yards.
#3 Heart Of A Dreamer (8/5) I am not going to bet this horse regardless of his last big win. The two reasons are he has never raced against winning, more seasoned horses and he ships in from Fair Grounds. At the other tracks that I follow, Fair Grounds shippers have really proved poor prospects.
#5 Roan Mountain (8/1) has our best overall class, best last two races cumulatively and best last. Arrives from Gulfstream and has two works. I’m not excited about this guy at all. Pass
#6 Curlin’s Knight (5/2) has our second best last and that was a recent race at Laurel where he showed a fantastic effort pressing the pace before just missing by ½ length to get up for the place. That recent race, June 13th, shows he’s coming into form and will be my pick for this race.
My pick: #6 Curlin’s Knight
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