Week 2, day 2: First post is 5:15 pm EDT
For the contest, each handicapper will designate one of his race picks per weekday and two on Saturday and Sunday. Win, place, show betting only. $20 per bet. Weeks run Monday through Sunday.
Play along and in future months you may have a chance to beat the pros.
RT continued his hot streak from Sunday, picking 5-Code Runner to win and place in the 8th at Lone Star, while Garrity picked 2-Sir Rick to win in the same race. Rick rocked third, but Code Runner, runner'd the fastest. RT's $7 win bet returned a sweet $46.90, while his $13 place bet returned $37.70. After one day, he's +$44.60. Garrity is -$20.
The pick: Lone Star Park, Race 6, $20 to win on #1 Bandit Swanson, post time 5:15 pm ET.
Why: We’re at the stage of the contest where the objective is finding a winner, any winner, regardless of price. We think we’ve found one in this maiden race in Texas, where the pick is 1 - Bandit Swanson. He’s a regally bred Bret Calhoun-trained colt, by top stallion Ghostzapper and out of an Empire Maker mare, and if that pedigree makes you think that routing on dirt is going to be his thing, we agree: his best races have been around two turns. In fact, in his last dirt races at a mile or longer, he earned Beyer Speed Figures of 70, 66 and 67, and these are superior to what the other horses have accomplished.
Bandit Swanson did not win those races, obviously -- he’s still a maiden -- but they were against much, much tougher fields than he will face today. He gets the rail post, which is an advantage at this distance, and will bet our whole stack on Bandit Swanson today: he is 9/5 on the morning line, and will probably be shorter at post time, but we do think he will win, and in this contest, we need to start cashing some tickets.
The pick: Lone Star Park, Race 9, $7 to win, $13 to place on #5 Beta Lake, post time 6:45 pm ET.
Why: Beta Lake (9/2) is 3:2-1-0 on turf, 2:1-0-1 at the distance and is the speed in this. He has second best last race and there is a very strong chance that he can get the lead and run away. Jockey Daniel Benavides and trainer Hector Echeverria are 33% together and Echeverria is 50% when off 2-6 months and 50% at the distance/surface. He recently had a sharp 3f work in :36.6 and this is my pick of the contest.
For my more detailed post including the pick of another race at Lone Star Park, please read about them here.