The weather will be sunny and 87°. Post time is 3:11 p.m. EDT.
Yesterdays’ recap – Summer Assault did not make the win column, and ran fourth; however, the choice of Samy Camacho on #2 Baby Boomer, got the place/show bet. The return on $6 bet returned $25.40, or $19.40 net.
The total thru yesterday is 9:4-3-1.
To date, that’s $64 bet, $96.10 returned: for a net of $32.10 - an roi of 50.16%.
FYI – I posted twice yesterday on Twitter and they both won. Follow me @RtsSpot
Todays’ race is the 5th from beautiful Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach, Florida. The weather will be sunny and 87°. Post time is 3:11 p.m. EDT.
This is a $32K starter allowance going one mile on the turf for 4yo’s+ NWx.
It is time to take a shot at a price. The morning line on #5 Carbon Data, is 8/1 and I like this classy seven-year-old. SmartCap has him as best overall, best speed and best last. The challenge? This Birdstone gelding has not run since September of 2018. However, his trainer, Mary Eppler is 36% with long layoff horses, 43% with jockey Jaramillo and he has had some attractive works: 5f in 1:01 and 5f in :59.7. The last time he was on a long layoff, he returned to win at Gulfstream on the turf, gate to wire, and at a longer distance. Watching the replay, he turned for home with his ears up, tail swooshing and blistering the stretch.
Carbon Data is 6:2-0-2 on GP turf and a lifetime of 12:3-1-2 for $112K.
Watch Carbon Data jump to the lead, control the pace, and take it to the house.
SmartCap is an algorithm-based system that helps the horse player identify key contenders in a race.
Developed by a math prodigy from West Point, you will receive a graph like the one below, per race, when you order SmartCap.
The figures along the left represent each entrants’ best last race, with the top number being the speed and the bottom number is its class. In this example, #10 comes out clearly ahead in class and speed which gives him an edge. Why is that number important? It identifies the horse that is in shape and like human sports competitions, the person(s) in the best shape has the advantage.
The graph on the right represents a horses’ overall rating. When you look at this graph, you will notice on the top far left, the track and race number. This is from Penn National, race two. To the right of this is this races’ class rating and its money – money being the separator for class. So, in this example, we have a $5K race and the class rating is 73. The 73 is the rating set by Equibase. At Penn 2 for this, you have a horse who raced a 62.9 overall versus a 106.2 overall. Now, #7 has a slightly better speed rating yet has been racing against lesser competition. The #10 has the best last, close speed rating, and by far best class, it would be a play. It won going away.
If you are unfamiliar with Equibase, they are the most reliable source for PP’s in the industry. Additionally, one reason why you may see us posting picks to the same tracks is Equibase installed their own GPS technology at Mahoning Valley, Penn National and is the official timer at Golden Gate, Laurel, Woodbine and Pimlico.
You must consult your PP’s regardless of what this graph tells you – especially in routes because this is where jockey skill makes the paramount difference. You can have the best horse in a certain race and if the jockey cannot work out a solid trip, it’s done.
Steer clear from an off track. Always check the weather before placing your order.
We are only providing you with a tool to identify potential horses in a race. You are directly responsible for your own wagering.
Pick your spots. It is a losing proposition to bet every race.
We rarely handicap maiden races and two-year-old races can be daunting – again, consult your pp’s before indulging.
For subscription information, email SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.