Free Monday SmartCap Horse Racing pick for the 8th race at Parx Racing
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Horses on my radar today at Parx Racing:
1st American Roma – coming off two wins and the last was dq’d, he’s a re-claim by Scott Lake. Has been claimed seven times in the past year and did not fare well. Look for a price elsewhere.
2nd Miami Tiger – first off the claim, again, for Scott lake. This is a better situation for him retaining the mount of Gerardo Milan, where he’s won on this gelding its last two. Machtree – first off claim for Kathleen DeMasi and had a freshening recently. Demasi 20% off claim, 21% off one to two months and 23% overall in claiming races.
10th Geebert – Joseph Taylor only 12% off the claim, yet is 28% with a last out winner. Mychael Sanchez up who is 23%.
Today’s highlight race is the eighth from Parx.
This is a $25K starter allowance for four-year olds and above which started for a claiming price of $25K or less and which have never won a race other than maiden or claiming or NW4.
What the numbers tell us:
#1 Aspen Extreme (2/1) and #8 Flat Out Flying (4/1) get best last with #1a Commandering (2/1), #7 Long Gray Line (4/1) and #9 True Blue (6/1) getting near best last numbers.
Flat Out Flying is best overall speed and Aspen Extreme is best overall class. There is a hodgepodge of best last two.
Long Gray Line is a bet I’ll make Since SmartCap was configured by a West Point grad, I have profitably bet him these past three races. As I wrote on Saturday about horses bouncing, this Grayday gelding will have a much-improved race today.
#6 Dance For Oro (8/1) is best money at the track with $13,625 per race.
Who will I bet today? Truthfully, this is a not a solid betting race for me and I’ll stick with a menial bet on my associate’s alma mater.
Understanding SmartCap
We use Equibase for all information
The graph on the right is the horse's last numbers
The graph on the left is its overall figures.
Bold Yellow means best; muted means second best and gray is worth mentioning
The bottom number is the class rating; the top its speed
