Horse Racing at the Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots in New Orleans
Horse Racing at the Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots in New Orleans|Kim Langston | @krlangston1965
Thoroughbreds

Free Fat Tuesday SmartCap Horse Racing picks for the Mardi Gras Stakes at the Fair Grounds

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Fat Tuesday!

Today is Fat Tuesday, Mardi Gras, which means, to us Catholics, that tomorrow is lent.

So, as a practicing Catholic, I am to give up something for lent in honor of Jesus’ 40 days in the desert and his sacrifices. So, I am going to stop smoking cigarettes. If I proclaim it here, I must stop lip service.

Todays’ race is The Mardi Gras Stakes at The Fair Grounds in N’awlins. It’s a five-and-a-half-furlong sprint on the turf for four-year-olds, and up, fillies and mares.

SmartCap has uncovered three possibilities:

#12 Bell’s The One (8/1) gets best last race, best last two races, best overall speed and best overall class.

#3 Break Even (5/2) gets a very close overall class and speed rating as well as best last. This Country Day filly is 7:6-1-0 lifetime with $474,900 in earnings.

#2 Spectralight (20/1) near best last two.

For money at the track:

Bell’s The One is 1-1 for $45K

#5 Unbridled Class (8/1) is 3:2-1-1 for $76,020 or $25,340 per time out

#11 Play On (6/1) is 4:2-2-0 for $97.8K or $24.450 per race

So, who to bet on?

For my money, I am going with #12 Bell’s The One. Corey Lanerie would be the only jockey I’d bet coming from the 12th hole in a short sprint and he has the opportunity to ride her again. This filly’s last race was against Mother Mother, came back to win the Kalookan Queen Stakes and ran second to Hard Not To Love in the G2 Santa Monica Stakes next out. She also, in her last race, chased Bellafina and Hard Not To Love. So, the drop-in class, the latest bullet work and with the return of Lanerie, I’ll play.

Understanding SmartCap

We use Equibase for all information

· The graph on the right is the horse's last numbers

· The graph on the left is its overall figures.

· Bold Yellow means best; muted means second best and gray is worth mentioning

· The bottom number is the class rating; the top its speed

SmartCap analysis of the Mardi Gras Stakes at the Fair Grounds
SmartCap analysis of the Mardi Gras Stakes at the Fair Grounds
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