Post time is 3:23 pm EST.
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For Sunday Jan. 26, we are looking at the 6th race at Aqueduct. The weather should be a brisk 41 degrees at post time. This is a $62.5K Optional Claimer for fillies and mares that are 4yo and above which have never won $10K twice other than maiden, claiming, starter or state OR optional claim the horse for $62.5…which none have In its past four races,
#2 Fair Regis (3/1) has had these odds versus this competition and her finish: $82K Allowance – 1.2, 3rd by 2.25 $150K Stakes – 2.3, 2nd by 4 $150K Stakes – 6.1, 3 rd by 3.5 $77K Allowance – 2.4, won by .5 Furthermore, the winner from its last, Kept True, ran a tight race and came up one length short in the $100K La Verdad Stakes.
#5 Bridlewood Cat, who is the ml favorite of 3/5, broke her maiden two back in her second chance, moved up to $75K Allowance company and won that going away.
#6 Piedi Bianchi (6/1) hasn’t raced in over a year and if you’re keeping score on the money, this one has em’ all beat by a long shot – 12:2-3-3 for $361,850 or $30.1K per.
Who knows what will show up with this gray mare? So, staying with the SmartCap numbers, I am going with #2 Fair Regis with her drop in class and leading rider Jose Lezcano getting his second try with her.
SmartCap is an algorithm-based system that helps the horse player identify key contenders in a race.
Developed by a math prodigy from West Point, you will receive a graph like the one below, per race, when you order SmartCap.
The figures along the left represent each entrants’ best last race, with the top number being the speed and the bottom number is its class. In this example, #10 comes out clearly ahead in class and speed which gives him an edge. Why is that number important? It identifies the horse that is in shape and like human sports competitions, the person(s) in the best shape has the advantage.
The graph on the right represents a horses’ overall rating. When you look at this graph, you will notice on the top far left, the track and race number. This is from Penn National, race two. To the right of this is this races’ class rating and its money – money being the separator for class. So, in this example, we have a $5K race and the class rating is 73. The 73 is the rating set by Equibase. At Penn 2 for this, you have a horse who raced a 62.9 overall versus a 106.2 overall. Now, #7 has a slightly better speed rating yet has been racing against lesser competition. The #10 has the best last, close speed rating, and by far best class, it would be a play. It won going away.
If you are unfamiliar with Equibase, they are the most reliable source for PP’s in the industry. Additionally, one reason why you may see us posting picks to the same tracks is Equibase installed their own GPS technology at Mahoning Valley, Penn National and is the official timer at Golden Gate, Laurel, Woodbine and Pimlico.
You must consult your PP’s regardless of what this graph tells you – especially in routes because this is where jockey skill makes the paramount difference. You can have the best horse in a certain race and if the jockey cannot work out a solid trip, it’s done.
Steer clear from an off track. Always check the weather before placing your order.
We are only providing you with a tool to identify potential horses in a race. You are directly responsible for your own wagering.
Pick your spots. It is a losing proposition to bet every race.
We rarely handicap maiden races and two-year-old races can be daunting – again, consult your pp’s before indulging.
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