FILE - In this Oct. 30, 2013, file photo, an exercise rider takes a horse for a workout at Santa Anita Park with palm trees and the San Gabriel Mountains as a backdrop in Arcadia, Calif. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong, File)
FILE - In this Oct. 30, 2013, file photo, an exercise rider takes a horse for a workout at Santa Anita Park with palm trees and the San Gabriel Mountains as a backdrop in Arcadia, Calif. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong, File)|Associated Press
Thoroughbreds

FREE SmartCap Horse Racing pick for Friday's 5th Race at Santa Anita

Post time is 6:02 pm EST.

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Todays’ race is the 5th at Santa Anita. This is a one-mile turf event for 3yo which have started for a $50K claiming price or less and NW2. This is a one mile race on turf.

About a month ago, there was an article in The Paulick Report about a newcomer jockey to Santa Anita whom is from Italy – Umberto Rispoli.

After reading this, I decided to bet him to win and place in all his races and it has turned a handsome profit. Today, SmartCap has identified his horse, #7 Fly The Sky (4/1) as the second choice. So, in keeping the tradition, I am going to bet him. However, our numbers show that #4 Commander (3/1) has the best figures and hot jockey Abel Cedillo is aboard.

Others of note:

#2 Leatherneck (6/1) broke his maiden his first, and only, time out at Los Al. This became a key race.

#5 Brickyard Ride (6/1) another key race returnee who has two starts and broke his maiden last out here on Oct. 19.

#6 Governor Cinch (5/1) Drayden Van Dyke aboard and he is 33% winners on turf this meet. Drops in from a $100K state stakes race after a dull effort.

SmartCap for the Santa Anita 5th.
SmartCap for the Santa Anita 5th.
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SmartCap

SmartCap is an algorithm-based system that helps the horse player identify key contenders in a race.

Developed by a math prodigy from West Point, you will receive a graph like the one below, per race, when you order SmartCap.

The figures along the left represent each entrants’ best last race, with the top number being the speed and the bottom number is its class. In this example, #10 comes out clearly ahead in class and speed which gives him an edge. Why is that number important? It identifies the horse that is in shape and like human sports competitions, the person(s) in the best shape has the advantage.

The graph on the right represents a horses’ overall rating. When you look at this graph, you will notice on the top far left, the track and race number. This is from Penn National, race two. To the right of this is this races’ class rating and its money – money being the separator for class. So, in this example, we have a $5K race and the class rating is 73. The 73 is the rating set by Equibase. At Penn 2 for this, you have a horse who raced a 62.9 overall versus a 106.2 overall. Now, #7 has a slightly better speed rating yet has been racing against lesser competition. The #10 has the best last, close speed rating, and by far best class, it would be a play. It won going away.

If you are unfamiliar with Equibase, they are the most reliable source for PP’s in the industry. Additionally, one reason why you may see us posting picks to the same tracks is Equibase installed their own GPS technology at Mahoning Valley, Penn National and is the official timer at Golden Gate, Laurel, Woodbine and Pimlico.

Parameters…

  • You must consult your PP’s regardless of what this graph tells you – especially in routes because this is where jockey skill makes the paramount difference. You can have the best horse in a certain race and if the jockey cannot work out a solid trip, it’s done.

  • Steer clear from an off track. Always check the weather before placing your order.

  • We are only providing you with a tool to identify potential horses in a race. You are directly responsible for your own wagering.

  • Pick your spots. It is a losing proposition to bet every race.

  • We rarely handicap maiden races and two-year-old races can be daunting – again, consult your pp’s before indulging.

For subscription information, email SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.

A sample SmartCap race chart.
A sample SmartCap race chart.
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