Sunday Horse Racing: RT and SmartCap pick the Fall Highweight Handicap, the 8th race at Aqueduct

Can #7 Recruiting Ready (9/5) be beat in The Fall Highweight Handicap?

Coming off an impressive gate-to-wire win in the $125K Bet on Sunshine Stakes less than a month ago, Recruiting Ready faces seven others in the Highweight Handicap at Aqueduct on Sunday. This is a six furlong sprint and there are a few logical contenders:

#5 Stan The Man (5/1) has Equibase/SmartCap best last figures after chasing Catalina Cruiser, Recruiting Ready et al, in the True North Stakes. He’s been on the bench since June and has eleven works since – including two solid bullets. Trainer John Terranova 12% bringing horses back from two to six months, 27% on dirt, 26% moving class down and 17% with jockey Dylan Davis.

#3 Nicodemus (3/1) trainer Linda Rice on fire of late getting 22% wins and hanging with Chad Brown in Aqueducts’ rankings. Michael Luzzi in the irons and they’re a 50% prop thus far. He gets 106 SmartCap speed rating and you should always be mindful of a horse who recently worked out at the distance of todays’ race – breezed six furlongs in 1:13.7

#2 Strike Power (3/1) there’s no hotter jockey than Javier Castallano who is clicking along with 40% wins in the past ten days. This Speighstwon colt is 9:3-2-0 for $337K on dirt.

Who am I betting on? #3 – Nicodemus

I think Luzzi will lay near the leaders, 1-2-7-4 and strike down the stretch.

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SmartCap

SmartCap is an algorithm-based system that helps the horse player identify key contenders in a race.

Developed by a math prodigy from West Point, you will receive a graph like the one below, per race, when you order SmartCap.

The figures along the left represent each entrants’ best last race, with the top number being the speed and the bottom number is its class. In this example, #10 comes out clearly ahead in class and speed which gives him an edge. Why is that number important? It identifies the horse that is in shape and like human sports competitions, the person(s) in the best shape has the advantage.

The graph on the right represents a horses’ overall rating. When you look at this graph, you will notice on the top far left, the track and race number. This is from Penn National, race two. To the right of this is this races’ class rating and its money – money being the separator for class. So, in this example, we have a $5K race and the class rating is 73. The 73 is the rating set by Equibase. At Penn 2 for this, you have a horse who raced a 62.9 overall versus a 106.2 overall. Now, #7 has a slightly better speed rating yet has been racing against lesser competition. The #10 has the best last, close speed rating, and by far best class, it would be a play. It won going away.

If you are unfamiliar with Equibase, they are the most reliable source for PP’s in the industry. Additionally, one reason why you may see us posting picks to the same tracks is Equibase installed their own GPS technology at Mahoning Valley, Penn National and is the official timer at Golden Gate, Laurel, Woodbine and Pimlico.

Parameters…

• You must consult your PP’s regardless of what this graph tells you – especially in routes because this is where jockey skill makes the paramount difference. You can have the best horse in a certain race and if the jockey cannot work out a solid trip, it’s done.

• Steer clear from an off track. Always check the weather before placing your order.

• We are only providing you with a tool to identify potential horses in a race. You are directly responsible for your own wagering.

• Pick your spots. It is a losing proposition to bet every race.

• We rarely handicap maiden races and two-year-old races can be daunting – again, consult your pp’s before indulging.

For subscription information, email SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.