Post time 3:07 pm ET.
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Our race of the day is Parx 7th. It should be 42 degrees at post time and sunny. This is a $25K, one mile starter allowance for three year olds’ and up whom have never won a race other than maiden or claiming or NW4.
With Equibase speed and class ratings, SmartCap has identified three entries.
#1a – Flat Out Beautiful (3/5) best overall class
#2 – Koan (12/1) second best last and second best overall speed and class
#3 - O’kram (6/1) best last and best overall speed
If the entry of both 1 and 1a go off together, you’re going to see the 1a take off and try to wire the group with the 1 having a strong closing move. Considering that both entries have the same trainer and owner, this makes it a strong possibility. Add in the fact that the 1a just came off a one mile and seventy-yard race where the winner nailed a 1:42.6 time on October 21st and he finished second by three lengths. This is a full two seconds faster than the rest of these at this level. The turn back of seventy yards less makes this heavy favorite tough to beat. That said, since pace makes the race, O’kram clocked his last fraction in the same time as Flat Out Beautiful did in his last and if jockey Roberto Rosado (38% last ten days), can keep him close and rate him properly, then he is worth the 6/1 shot.
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SmartCap is an algorithm-based system that helps the horse player identify key contenders in a race.
Developed by a math prodigy from West Point, you will receive a graph like the one below, per race, when you order SmartCap.
The figures along the left represent each entrant's best last race with the top number being the speed and the bottom number is class. In this example, #10 comes out clearly ahead in class and speed which gives him an edge. Why is that number important? Because it identifies the horse that is in shape and like human sports competitions, the person(s) in the best shape usually win.
The figures on the right represent its overall rating. When you look at this graph, you will notice on the top far left, the track and race number. This is from a second race at Penn National. To the right of this is this race's class rating and its money – money being the separator for class. So, in this race, we have a $5K race and the class rating is 73. The 73 is the rating set by Equibase. At Penn 2 for this, you have a horse who raced a 62.9 overall versus a 106.2 overall. Now, #7 has a slightly better speed rating yet has been racing against lesser competition. Given the #10 having the best last and close speed rating, and by far best class, it would be a play. Which it did win going away.
If you are unfamiliar with Equibase, they are the most reliable source for PP’s in the industry. Additionally, one reason why you may see us posting picks to the same tracks is Equibase installed their own GPS technology at Mahoning Valley and Penn National and is the official timer at Golden Gate, Laurel, Woodbine and Pimlico.
A few rules of the road…
You must consult your PP’s regardless of what this chart tells you – especially in routes because this is where jockey skill makes the paramount difference. You can have the best horse in a certain race and if the jockey cannot work out a solid trip, it’s done.
Steer clear from an off track. Always check the weather before placing your order.
We are only providing you with a tool to identify potential horses in a race. You are directly responsible for your own wagering.
Pick your spots. It is a losing proposition to bet every race.
We rarely handicap maiden races and two-year-old races can be daunting – again, consult your pp’s before indulging.
Full Card - $29.95 or $4.95 per race.
More details at SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.