Wednesday Horse Racing: RT picks the 4th race at Gulfstream Park West with his SmartCap program
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SmartCap is for sale on a per card or per race basis. The details are at the end of this post.
Today’s race is from Gulfstream Park West. We’re focusing on the 4th, a turf sprint, 5 furlongs, for 3yo+ that are non-winners since October 13th. There are 12 entrants in this field and SmartCap has identified two key runners.
Best Last –
#10 Tale Of Kantharos (12/1) scored 88/117
#5 Chief White Sox (12/1) scored 97/95
Best Overall Speed –
#5 Chief White Sox scored a 92.6
#1 Our Independence (7/2) scored a 91.6
Best Overall Class –
#1 Our Independence scored a 115.4
#5 – Chief White Sox scored a 105.7
Hitting all three categories is the #5 Chief White Sox. Equibase gives this race a class rating of 89 and this 5-year-old gelding has scored 95, 93 & 91 in his last three, respectively. The only other horse in the field to hit a 90 or greater is the #1 and that was four races back. He has digressed since indicating he is going off form. I couldn’t make a case for any other horse in here as I believe, especially at 12/1, he is worth a win/place wager.
SmartCap
SmartCap is an algorithm-based system that helps the horse player identify key contenders in a race.
Developed by a math prodigy from West Point, you will receive a graph like the one below, per race, when you order SmartCap.
The figures along the left represent each entrant's best last race with the top number being the speed and the bottom number is class. In this example, #10 comes out clearly ahead in class and speed which gives him an edge. Why is that number important? Because it identifies the horse that is in shape and like human sports competitions, the person(s) in the best shape usually win.
The figures on the right represent its overall rating. When you look at this graph, you will notice on the top far left, the track and race number. This is from a second race at Penn National. To the right of this is this race's class rating and its money – money being the separator for class. So, in this race, we have a $5K race and the class rating is 73. The 73 is the rating set by Equibase. At Penn 2 for this, you have a horse who raced a 62.9 overall versus a 106.2 overall. Now, #7 has a slightly better speed rating yet has been racing against lesser competition. Given the #10 having the best last and close speed rating, and by far best class, it would be a play. Which it did win going away.
If you are unfamiliar with Equibase, they are the most reliable source for PP’s in the industry. Additionally, one reason why you may see us posting picks to the same tracks is Equibase installed their own GPS technology at Mahoning Valley and Penn National and is the official timer at Golden Gate, Laurel, Woodbine and Pimlico.
A few rules of the road…
You must consult your PP’s regardless of what this chart tells you – especially in routes because this is where jockey skill makes the paramount difference. You can have the best horse in a certain race and if the jockey cannot work out a solid trip, it’s done.
Steer clear from an off track. Always check the weather before placing your order.
We are only providing you with a tool to identify potential horses in a race. You are directly responsible for your own wagering.
Pick your spots. It is a losing proposition to bet every race.
We rarely handicap maiden races and two-year-old races can be daunting – again, consult your pp’s before indulging.
Full Card - $29.95 or $4.95 per race.
More details at SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.
