There's a light slate Tuesday, which is unsurprising, as most tracks are gearing up for a big holiday weekend. There is, however, a playable card at Indiana Grand, where it will be hot, and it will be fast and firm. We'll make a few plays to get the week started. Let's go . . .
● ● ●
Race 1 (2:15 p.m. ET) is a $25,000 maiden claimer for Indiana-bred females at 6 furlongs on dirt. Some handicappers avoid these races because the form of many of the runners is so bad. We like them because it's so easy to eliminate horses. That's the case here, as most of these horses look incapable of running a lick.
We like 3-Savedbestforlast. This 3-year-old daughter of Temple City is dropping from straight maiden (Maiden Special Weight) to maiden claiming, and as we've noted before, this is the biggest class drop in racing. Her last effort was a dud, but that was in a two-turn race, and that is farther than she wants to go. She ran passably well in a Maiden Specials at Oaklawn in the spring, and those races are no joke. They are very, very tough. If she can run back to that form, she's pretty close to a cinch here. We think she's the bet of the day, especially if she stays anywhere close to her 4-1 morning line price. We will bet her to win, and we will do so enthusiastically.
Indiana Grand Race 1
$50 W 3-Savedbestforlast
● ● ●
Race 5 (4:07 p.m.) is a Maiden Special Weight race for 2-year-old fillies at 5 1/2 furlongs on dirt. There is in this field the usual mixed bag of horses making their first starts, but we very much like a filly who has run already − 6-Pranked. She finished 3rd in a maiden race on June 7 at Churchill Downs, earning a Beyer Speed Figure (55) that towers over the rest of the field. If she runs anywhere close to that, it's strictly a race for second -- and we think she may actually improve, as many horses run better their second time out. She will probably be shorter at post time than her 5-2 morning-line price, but we will bet her to win anyway.
Indiana Grand Race 5
$40 W on 6-Pranked
● ● ●
Races 6-7 (4:35/5:03 p.m.)
Our last bet of the day is going to be a double. Race 6 is a $32k maiden claimer for females 3 and up; Race 7 is a second-level allowance at a mile on the dirt for Indiana-bred females 3 and up. In the 6th, we like Tom Amoss trainee 4-Tupelo Hon E, who's 2-1 and who's another class dropper. She's run OK in Maiden Special Weight races at Indiana Grand and Arlington, and drops in for a tag here. She will be rolling late. In the 7th, we like the chalk, 7-Quiet Contender, who's 7-5. This girl is coming out of a state-bred stakes race, but more important, she seems to be improving, as every one of her three races has been better than the last. She doesn't need to improve to win this one − a repeat of her last will do − but we think she will improve, which makes her a very, very strong choice.
We'll pair Tupelo Hon E in Race 6 and Quiet Contender in Race 7 in Daily Double, and try to end the day on a high note. You can have all the tea in China. We'll try to hammer this double in Suburban Indianapolis.
Indiana Grand Race 6/7
$40 Double 4-7
That's all for today. As always, good luck at the windows.
● ● ●
If you're a horse player in any of 30 states, you can sign up with NYRA BETS. Promo code: INSIDER.