Quail Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina, sets the stage for one of the most demanding major championships of the year. This undoubtedly will be one of the top events of the season.
As mentioned in previous articles this week, Quail Hollow favors long hitters, elite tee-to-green players, and scramblers who can survive a week of missed greens. These five picks target proven ball-strikers with strong form, elite course history, success in major championships, and high floors.
All lines via Bet365 | Including Ties
Quail Hollow is Rory’s backyard. He’s won here twice (2010, 2015) and ranks No. 1 in strokes gained per round (+2.86) at this course dating back to 2014, which is the best player/course combo on Tour in that span.
He’s finished inside the top 25 in five of his last six trips here and enters in arguably the best form of his career. He should once again use his power to gain an advantage on the field. Not much to say here, he should get it done.
Bryson is coming into this event in great form, and research says putting on the best driving performance statistically of any golfer in the history of golf. Pretty impressive for the course we are heading to.
He’s finished top 10 in four of his last five majors, finishing 1st, 2nd, T6, T5, with the lone exception being a missed cut at The Open, which doesn’t suit his game. Quail Hollow does.
He’s been on a tear in LIV finishing 1st, T2, T5, 5th, and has three solid finishes here previously, T9, 4, T33, and that was before he became what he is now. His power and control make him a serious contender to win the whole thing.
Xander is coming into form at perfect timing. Missing most of the start to the season, he has come on strong with 4 straight Top 18 finishes, 3 inside the Top 15.
He is built for majors, and I believe this line is flat-out disrespectful. He’s finished 2nd, 2nd, and T14 in his last three trips to Quail Hollow. He’s dialed in with his tee-to-green game and rarely misses in majors.
His history in majors also backs this play as he has finished Top 20 in 13 of his last 17 majors.
If you follow me, you know he is a fairly regular play, and I will continue to back him this week for multiple reasons. He’s been locked in this season, and perhaps a dark horse to win his first major in 2025.
He has 9 Top 30 finishes in 10 starts this season and thrives in these environments. His Quail Hollow resume includes finishes of T13, T5, and T14 in his last three appearances, and his recent stretch this season of T4, 7, T21, T16, T14, T11, 5, T22, T21 gives me confidence that Top 30 is a good look for Tommy.
Sungjae is flying under the radar this week, and I am not sure how many people will be on him. Having said that, his recent results, combined with course history leave me to believe his Top 30 should be at this price, not Top 40.
His recent results of T23, T33, T11, and a T5 at The Masters, has been very impressive. Even better, he has back-to-back Top 10 finishes, and a T33 at Quail Hollow, which has proven to fit his game. At + money, including ties, this is a no brainer.
Bonus Outright Bets
Rory McIlroy to Win (+500)
Rory is the hottest player in the field at his best course. I would not be shocked if he won this, and I would be upset if I did not have him on the card. This is his tournament to lose on Sunday.
Bryson DeChambeau to Win (+900)
He has been knocking at the door here with 2 Top 10 finishes and has the driving ability to keep up with Rory. If his short game is locked in we could have a battle on Sunday between the two long bombers.