The Phillies did not arrive in New York from Atlanta Friday morning until 4 a.m. (We are not sure, but the flight might have been diverted to Valley Forge to pick up some realllllly old members of the Continental Army.)
They had sent Friday starting pitcher Vince Velasquez ahead of time and he will be settled, well-rested and ready to face Jacob deGrom. The problem both pitchers will have is, whether they are rested or the defending Cy Young Award winner, it’s the Phillies and Mets that will be playing behind them. And batting against them.
That makes it seem like we would lean toward Unders here, but then we see that either the Phillies or their opponents have scored 9+ runs in four of their last five games. (Three of those times it has been the other team, in case you weren’t sure.) Since the posted O/U is a pedestrian 8.5 for this day and age in baseball, we’re going Overs.
The Mets are 3-12 in deGrom’s last 15 starts (ERA: 3.80) and the Phillies are 4-12 in VV’s last 16 starts (ERA: 5.49), so let’s not worry about who is going to win. Let’s just assume someone is going to score a lot of runs along the way and try to hit some of those.
Pick: Total Runs First Inning Over 0.5 ($3/-125)
Pick: Total Runs First Inning Over 1.5 ($3/+205)
Pick: Total Runs First 3 Innings Over 2.5 ($3/-120)
Pick: Total Runs First 5 Innings Over 4.5 ($3/-120)
Pick: Total Runs First 7 Innings Over 6.5 ($3/-122)
Pick: Total Runs Game Over 8.5 ($4/-112)
Pick: Total Runs Game Over 9.5 ($3/+140)
Pick: Total Runs Game Over 10.5 ($2/+190)
Pick: Total Runs Game Over 11.5 ($1/+280)
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