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For the first time in team history, the Washington Commanders (4-11) will play a Christmas game. Their opponent for their first-ever matchup on this holiday – the Dallas Cowboys (6-8-1) – is a team that has played the most road Christmas Day games in NFL history.
After finishing in the NFC Championship game last year, this season has gone off the rails. The Commanders are without Jayden Daniels due to injury, and the franchise has lost nine of its last 10 games.
Dallas has a chance to finish with a .500 record should the storied franchise win their next two contests. Despite having no chance at making the playoffs, Cowboys fans can rejoice as their team finishes the regular season with NFC East rivals who are down this season.
Can the Washington rally against Dallas, giving their fans a present on Christmas Day? We’ll cover that and provide bettors with our top three player props for Thursday’s intriguing matchup.
Dak Prescott is wrapping up his 10th season for Dallas in 2025. The 32-year-old is among the league’s best this season. His 4,175 passing yards rank second in the NFL, and his 28 scoring strikes rank as the third-most touchdowns in the league thus far.
The only reason Prescott didn’t surpass the 270-yard passing mark in his first game against Washington was his team had such a comfortable lead heading into the fourth quarter. Oddsmakers don’t expect a repeat of that result, meaning bettors should take the signal-caller to surpass his passing prop total on Christmas Day.
Deebo Samuel’s change of scenery hasn’t worked out well for the veteran wide receiver. After joining the Commanders during the offseason, Samuel found life difficult with a revolving door at the quarterback position.
Still, the 29-year-old has caught 68 passes for 639 yards and five touchdowns in 2025, leading the Commanders in all three categories. He’s added another score and 49 rushing yards for Washington’s ground game.
The Dallas defense has surrendered the most passing yards in the NFL through 15 games. No matter who is in the backfield for Washington, they’ll target Samuel. Expect him to finish this Christmas Day contest with at least 41 receiving yards to cover this prop bet total.
Before this season, Dallas wide receiver CeeDee Lamb was Prescott’s top target. With the addition of George Pickens, the Cowboys have a dynamic one-two punch to throw at their opponent’s secondary.
Lamb has finished with at least five touchdown receptions in each of his first five seasons. Through 12 games this season, Lamb has caught only three scores among his 69 catches for 1,027 yards. Bettors should expect him to be targeted early and often in this matchup, and he’ll record at least one touchdown in Thursday’s game.
Oddsmakers have installed the Cowboys as touchdown favorites ahead of this NFC East matchup. That seems like an odd – no pun intended – choice for sportsbooks as Dallas defeated Washington 44-22 in their previous matchup.
While Dallas should win this road game with relative ease, the best line from this game is the total combined points. Both squads have struggled defensively, suggesting this game could be a shootout. A 31-24 score in favor of Dallas would be the baseline for Thursday’s game. Expect these two teams to score at least 51 combined points on Christmas Day.