Welcome to NFL Week 10, sports betting family. The 2025-26 season is flying by at lightning speed. As usual, this week's pro football slate is packed with lots of intriguing matchups across the board.
I've found some expected value on the Bills vs Dolphins game, which kicks off at 1:00 Eastern Time on Sunday, November 9. I've broken down all aspects of this matchup and came up with an early best bet for your wagering pleasures.
Good luck and enjoy the action! This one should be fun to watch, and hopefully it puts money in our pockets. Let's get into the breakdown.
Online sportsbooks opened this line at Buffalo -8.5 on the look-ahead back in the summer months. However, that all changed after Miami received a whooping from Baltimore on Thursday Night Football in Week 9. Most online sportsbooks now have the Bills as a 9.5-point favorite as of Friday morning.
As for the game total, there's been no major moves to report so far. The line opened at 49.5, and most shops are still dealing that number. Caesars is showing a 50 if you're interested in the Under. As always, be sure to shop around for the best price before pulling the trigger.
The bye came at the perfect time for the Bills. They were embarrassed on Monday Night Football by the Falcons but have figured some things out over the last couple of weeks after getting some much-needed rest.
Buffalo boat raced Carolina in Week 8 before getting a huge win over Kansas City last Sunday at home. Josh Allen continues to perform like an MVP candidate, as he's accounted for 20 total TDs already this season.
The Bills' defense still has some question marks. They rank next to last in yards per rush allowed, so they may have to put an extra guy in the box to help slow down Dolphins RB DeVon Achane. Buffalo does an excellent job of rushing the passer, as they rank 2nd in sack rate.
Miami is 2-7, but surprisingly, this team hasn't quit on lame duck head coach Mike McDaniel. They blew out Atlanta a couple of weeks ago on the road to let everyone know that they aren't anywhere close to throwing in the towel. Most folks didn't see that coming, especially after they were blown out by Cleveland (yes, Cleveland) the week before.
The Fish do a decent job of running the ball, and although the offense misses Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle has helped pick up the slack. The former Alabama star leads the team with 586 receiving yards and 4 TDs.
The Achilles heel of this Dolphins squad has been their defense. They rank 28th in both yards per play allowed and yards per rush allowed. They can only hope that stud RB James Cook (questionable) won't play.
BUF at MIA: 1:00 ET on Sunday 11/9
This is a tough one to hit submit on, but I love playing on teams that recently looked terrible in a primetime spot. Miami definitely fits that bill after getting ripped by Baltimore on Thursday Night Football 8 days ago. This is an excellent time to buy the Dolphins at a low point.
If you watched that TNF game, you saw the Fish move the ball up and down the field quite well. Going 0 for 3 in the red zone and committing 3 untimely turnovers would be the undoing of any team. The Ravens only outgained the Dolphins by six yards in that outing, so I'm expecting a better effort out of the Fish this Sunday at home.
I know the Bills have owned the Dolphins the last few years, but keep in mind that Miami only lost by 10 at Buffalo earlier this season. I also think the Bills may have a little bit of a letdown after their gigantic win over the Chiefs last weekend. Let's sell the Bills at a high. Take Miami plus the points! Good luck, sports betting family!