2025 is off to a nice start for our NFL Anytime TD props, as we are sitting at 19-25 for a profit of 6.02 units. We lost a peanut (-0.35) after a 2-4 performance in Week 7. It wasn't a great weekend, but some nice plus-money winners kept it from being a total disaster.
Let's find out what Week 8 will hold. Our staff gives out their best Anytime Touchdown props below. Best of luck, folks! Let's get into it!
SF at HOU - 1:00 PM EDT
Alright. I'm 1-6 like, just like the Dolphins. And if Mike McDaniel isn't fired yet, well, neither should I. Last week, I felt like I was prepared with my Croskey-Merritt pick. And when he was inside the 5-yard line, Jayden Danials took the option and ran it in himself. What can you do? I'm back on the house, or should I say, the bull this week.
I'll ride with the Texans' rookie, Woody Marks, this week. The Texans are figuring out what they’ve got in this kid, and it’s starting to look like a lot. And while he hasn't had a huge total yardage day yet, he is catching the ball, and he is finding the endzone. He has a dual threat in him, and he has earned some trust around the endzone.
Let's also keep in mind that as of this writing, Nico Collins is sidelined due to a concussion he received in week 7. He did not practice on Thursday. I hope he is healthy enough to return, but if he isn't, all those targets are up for grabs. I see more check-downs as a big possibility, and someone has to cash them in near the goal line. Marks has the hands and shiftiness to be that guy.
And Green Bay’s defense doesn't scare me. At 19th against RBs this season, they have been giving up chunk plays and a handful of scores on screens and check-downs. The Texans’ offense is due for a bounce-back week, and Marks feels like the spark. Let’s see if the rookie keeps the scoreboard moving so we can cash a ticket before Mike McDaniel gets got.
NYG at PHI - 1:00 PM EDT
This week, I’m taking Dallas Goedert at +165 for an anytime touchdown because this spot checks every box. Last week, I got a pass with Deebo Samuel as he was listed as out at gametime, but this week, Goedert is cashing for us.
He’s already found the end zone 5 times this year, tied for 5th among all pass-catchers, and the volume is there as well. He has 27 catches on 36 targets with multiple games of 40+ yards, including a couple of weeks ago when they played the Giants, where he racked up 110 yards and a TD. His connection with Jalen Hurts is clearly locked in, and now he gets another matchup against a Giants defense that’s one of the worst in the NFL.
They’re giving up 25.3 points per game, have allowed 19 total TDs, and let teams score on 63.6% of red-zone trips. That’s just brutal, and exactly the kind of environment you want when backing a big-bodied tight end like Goedert.
What’s even better is that Hurts hasn’t thrown a touchdown in his last 2 games despite sitting at 11 on the year. That’s not going to last, and he’s due — when he breaks that streak, Goedert’s the top candidate to benefit.
The Giants are getting shredded for an insane 376 yards per game, which ranks them 29th, so this offense will undoubtedly move the ball. Once they’re inside the 20, Goedert's the guy with the size and hands to finish the drive. A plus money player prop at +165, this is one of the better values on the slate.
DAL at DEN - 4:25 PM EDT
Zach Ertz kept the Anytime TD party going for us last weekend, and yet my Cowboys still won. It truly was a win-win. Let's stick with our theme of playing these wagers in Cowboys games, since this Dallas squad features a great offense and a Swiss cheese defense.
I get that a lot of folks expect some regression from Pickens because of the return of CeeDee Lamb. However, I think Pickens found a nice groove and some chemistry with QB Dak Prescott while Lamb was out with the ankle injury. Even with Lamb back last week against Washington, Pickens still got 6 targets and caught 4 of them for 82 yards.
The former Georgia star has found the end zone in 5 of his 7 games since putting on the star helmet, and I think he'll get some chances to hit pay dirt in this one. Denver has a strong secondary, but around half of Pickens's projected snaps will come vs. Riley Moss, who ranks just 84th out of 110 corners in coverage. Bring it home for us, George! Best of luck, sports betting amigos!
DAL at DEN - 4:25 PM EDT
Let's go with the former Central Florida star for a big plus-money swing. I get that JK Dobbins is getting the bulk of the carries, but you just can't sleep on a solid 3rd down back like Harvey. The 5'8" rookie continues to be a threat in the passing game, as he's already caught two touchdowns this season.
There's not really anything good to say about this putrid Dallas defense. The Cowboys rank 30th in rushing yards allowed per game, so Harvey could also do some damage on the ground in this one. The bottom line is I think this price should be in the +220 to +250 range, so we'll gladly take +300.
NYG at PHI - 1:00 PM EDT
Well, the cold streak continues after a hot start. So, we’re going back to our familiar grounds that set us up so well earlier this year, focusing on the QB rushing TD. And there isn’t a hotter player out there right now than Jaxson Dart. This man has been a revelation in New York, turning a dull Giants team into an electrifying force.
He’s been a menace ever since he took the starting role from Russell Wilson. In that time, he’s had 3 rushing TDs, almost one per game he’s started. With another one in that classic game against Denver last week, I feel confident he’ll find his way into the end zone again. The man doesn’t know fear and is willing to lay his body on the line for a score, probably more than he should.
They also played the Eagles two weeks ago in New York, where they won, and Dart scored a rushing TD. Considering the Eagles gave up 58 yards on the ground to Dart last time they played, this looks promising. If nothing else, betting on Dart to score a rushing touchdown gives you another reason to watch this team. And even with the game in Philadelphia this weekend, Dart should still put on a great show.
TEN at IND - 4:25 PM EDT
Two losses on the year is unacceptable. We struck out last week with Doubs, but we are back to redeem ourselves. Let's get back to basics. Bad team/bad defense = lots of touchdowns. This Titans team has been showing slight signs of improvement, but let's be honest, they are struggling. I feel bad beating a team while they are down, but that's exactly what we are doing here.
The Colts are arguably the best team in football, and I can't believe I'm saying this, but Daniel Jones is looking like prime Peyton out there. The fear with this pick is that Jonathan Taylor ends up with 4 touchdowns and takes them all away from our guy (which, wildly, is a possibility). With that being said, I think there will be plenty of TDs to go around, and one of those will go to Warren.
He's one of Daniel's favorite targets, and that's evident coming off 3 straight games with a TD and lots of targets. Also, this Sunday is National TE Day, so what better way to cash than on the holiday! Let's add another win to the scoreboard and get hot!!
CHI at BAL - 1:00 PM EDT
Last week, I said, "We'll run the hybrid RB in this offense until it doesn't work," and in the last two weeks, we've hit with both Swift and Monangai. For the record, I do think Swift is the safest Anytime TD play in this game, and I'm absolutely playing him at +135. But hear me out.
DJ hasn't had a WR1 game yet this season. Injuries, the emergence of Rome as Caleb's top target, and the running game have certainly hurt his opportunities to get the ball, but I think this is the week DJ breaks out. He's been upgraded in injury status since the middle of the week and (as of now) is expected to play on Sunday. Should he not play at the last second, play Swift.
Baltimore has given up the 4th most Passing TDs and 4th most rushing TDs so far this season. Both are areas that Bears fans know DJ can score from. If that isn't enough, DJ went on record in an interview from the locker room this week saying that the WR room has "a few" touchdown dances planned that they need to break out. To me, the biggest indicator is that DJ finds the end zone and we see at least one of those dances. Let those Meatballs Roll