NFL fans, welcome to week 8! After cashing our Chargers -2.5 ticket last night, we are looking to cash a few more!
We are coming off a scorching-hot 13-3 NFL Week 7, and we are looking to keep it rolling. Here are three props that stand out heading into this weekend’s games.
Josh Allen has looked locked in through the first seven weeks of the season. He has thrown 11 touchdown passes, with a median of two per game, throwing two in four straight games.
Allen has done a great job spreading the ball around to seven different pass catchers, led by tight end Dalton Kincaid, and wide receivers Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman. The Bills average 27.8 points per game while Carolina allows 21.
Carolina does rank 10th in passing yards allowed per game, but they rank 22nd in 3rd down conversion rate, a key stat that should allow Allen more time on the field, which equals opportunities.
Carolina has allowed 2+ pass touchdowns in three of the last four weeks. Dak Prescott and Tua Tagovailoa both threw three at Carolina, while Drake Maye threw for two at home. Allen has had multiple streaks in his career with 2+ passing touchdowns, and I expect the Bills to win this game by 7 or more after dropping two straight.
Courtland Sutton and this Denver Broncos team continue to find ways to win. Now 5-2 and looking to make it five straight wins as they host the Cowboys. Through seven games, Sutton has 469 receiving yards, averaging 14 yards per reception.
Sutton leads the team in targets, target share, yards, and touchdowns. His connection with quarterback Bo Nix has been locked in over the past eighteen games, as Sutton has cleared this line in thirteen of those past eighteen games, cashing five of seven this season.
Sutton averages 7.1 targets and 4.7 receptions, while getting an uptick at home with 5.7 receptions on 8.3 targets. Looking at the past Cowboys games, they have allowed 11 receivers to reach 58+ receiving yards, while only allowing five to reach 5+ receptions. I like points in this matchup, and with the up-tempo pace the Cowboys want to play, we could see a back-and-forth shootout!
Derrick Henry and the Baltimore Ravens are not only looking to get back on track in a big way but also to slow down the Chicago Bears' momentum. Through the first seven games of the season, Henry has rushed for 439 yards on 88 carries, averaging 5.0 yards per carry, and has cleared this line in just two of six games.
Why do I like this play? Last season, Henry cleared this line in fourteen games, seven at home, including one in the playoffs. The Bears have allowed a running back to clear this in three of the six games against them, while one other landed on nineteen. If we ever get an 18.5 line here, I like that a lot more.
With the Ravens getting healthier and Lamar’s passing threat keeping the Bears honest on defense, I can see Henry ripping one off and getting back to King Henry ways. We saw in the Raiders game Ashton Jeanty rip off a 64-yarder, while Raheem Mostert also added on a 37-yarder. Jahmir Gibbs hit 42 yards, and I think Henry can land another 20+ here.