Thursday Night Football is bringing us a critical AFC West matchup between the Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers.
21+ Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler
Both teams are surprisingly vying for playoff positions, and with the stakes this high, it’s going to be a great game for player props.
However, not all NHL player props are created equal. So we’ve found the five best player props which include some plus-money bets that stand out given the recent performances and stats for both teams.
Player Prop Odds: Over 1.5 (+140)
Justin Herbert has had some inconsistent showings recently. He had a pretty bad outing against Tampa Bay last week, but this line at +140 is too good for us to pass up.
While Denver’s defense is pretty strong, they’ve still allowed 16 passing touchdowns this year which puts them at 16th in the league. So, they have some vulnerabilities.
Despite Herbert hitting a rough patch, he still ranks in the top 10 for passing TDs, throwing for 2+ TDs in 9 games this season.
The Broncos' passing defense has shown that they’re beatable, especially with key injuries in their secondary (Riley Moss and John Franklin-Myers both questionable heading into tonight).
We’re looking for Herbert to take advantage of mismatches, particularly with Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston in the red zone.
At plus money, this pick is simply some great value for a quarterback of Herbert’s caliber. We’re confident he’s going to get at least 2 TD throws in for TNF.
Player Prop Odds: Over 10.5 (+110)
The Chargers’ run defense ranks 27th in total yards allowed per game with a dismal 136.7. That makes this a prime opportunity for Gus Edwards to take the game to the ground.
Edwards has been seeing steady usage as he’s averaging just under 11 carries per game over his last 5 outings.
If the Chargers establish an early lead, which we think they will, Denver will likely lean on their ground game to keep Herbert off the field. This should give Edwards plenty of opportunities.
At +110, the value is phenomenal. This is especially true with Edwards’ recent efficiency.
He doesn’t need to break off big, explosive runs for you to cash this bet — volume alone will get him there.
Player Prop Odds: Over 5.5 (+115)
Courtland Sutton has been Denver’s most reliable pass-catcher this season. He leads the team with 66 receptions and over 870 receiving yards. He’s going to have no problem getting over the 1,000-yard mark this season.
With Bo Nix struggling for any amount of consistency under center, we’re expecting him to lean on Sutton even more in high-pressure situations, which we think the Chargers will undoubtedly bring.
Sutton has cleared 5.5 receptions in 6 of his last 7 games, and the Chargers’ secondary allows an average of 23 completions per game. This is the perfect condition for Sutton to break out.
Sutton’s big-play ability and role as the go-to target for Nix make this prop at +115 a strong bet. Don’t leave this money on the table.
Player Prop Odds: Anytime TD (+155)
If you’re looking for a plus-money touchdown scorer, Ladd McConkey is the pick of the night.
He’s been a fairly reliable target for Herbert in the red zone as he’s tallied 5 touchdowns this season while averaging 13.9 yards per catch. Despite taking a big loss last week against the Bucs, he still reeled in one reception TD.
Denver’s defense has been solid overall, but they’re middle-of-the-pack when it comes to defending slot receivers. This is where McConkey does a lot of his damage and we’re thinking he’s going to strike again for TNF.
Given McConkey’s knack for huge plays and his growing chemistry with Herbert, this is a great value prop bet at +155.
Player Prop Odds: Under 222.5 (-115)
Bo Nix hasn’t been asked to do much through the air lately. Last week, he threw for just 130 yards with 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. The week before he got the yardage, but still threw for 2 interceptions.
The Chargers, despite recent struggles, still allow the 10th-fewest passing yards per game at 211.6 yards and they’re not looking to give up much to the rookie QB.
Denver’s game plan will likely focus on establishing the run to avoid big turnovers and keep the game manageable. They might’ve won their past 2 games even with the turnovers, but that’s not going to be sustainable against the Chargers.
Nix has gone under 222.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 5 games, and with his inconsistent accuracy (a grim 60.6% last week), the under is the safer bet here.
This matchup has plenty of betting opportunities. With such close odds and high stakes for both teams, we’re going to see lots of action and those are the types of bets we like.
Herbert’s passing props offer some decent value at plus money, while Denver’s reliance on Sutton and Edwards creates strong spots to take advantage of. Whether you’re looking for steady picks or bold plus-money plays, these props are the best ones for Thursday Night Football and you’re not going to want to miss out on them.
21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-877-770-7867(CO), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Call or text 877-718-5543 or visit morethanagame.nc.gov (NC). Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 1-888-532-3500 (VA).