Alloy's NFL Week 8 Forecast: The Drive Extenders Strategy
This article is highlighting a profitable backtested strategy from Alloy Sports. Plug this strategy in and see what games to bet on. Or create your own. Click here to sign up for free!
Week 8 of the NFL season is upon us. We’re very excited to pull back the curtain and reveal more of the transparency Alloy offers. For this week’s Alloy Forecast, we not only will be sharing a new strategy, but our CEO’s top performing strategy, which he built on the Alloy Sports app.
Last week on Band of Bettors, Spencer made his weekly picks using his personal Drive Extenders strategy. This strategy, he explained, was built using 9 years of data. Not only has the strategy been profitable for 9 years, but it’s been trending to more profitability over recent years. How did the strategy perform last week? It went 5-1! Here’s the proof!
Sticking with the company's ethos of being fully transparent, Spencer was thrilled to be able to share his personal strategy with all of you.
What's in the special sauce?
The Drive Extenders strategy was built on teams that excel in third down situations and are protective of the ball. These types of teams have a certain clutch factor, especially on the road. Teams with these characteristics also tend to keep games close so the spread is always within striking distance.
What does the data show?
Underdogs win ATS with the Drive Extenders strategy. Fact. Since 2014, close underdogs have gone 197-145-13. The ROI with 9 years of data is at 10% ROI. Heavy underdogs also perform well in that time frame, yielding a 7% ROI.
Since 2020, the Drive Extenders strategy has won 60% of games with an ROI of 18% for close underdogs.
The data shows a consistent level of profit with nearly a decade long sample size. It also shows that the strategy is performing even better as of late. It’s everything you’d want to see from a reliable data-backed betting strategy.
Here are your Week 8 games to bet with the Drive Extender Strategy (Odds courtesy of BetMGM):
Cardinals (+3.5) @ Vikings
Giants (+3) @ Seahawks
Commanders (+3) @ Colts