The NCAA schedule-makers might not have known it at the time, but Week 14 is shaping up to be one of the most exciting weeks of college football in some time. There are several matchups between ranked opponents that could all have major implications on the playoff seeding in a few weeks. We’re excited to watch all of the action go down, but have decided to focus our Underdog player prop efforts on a few key matchups.
One of those is the Black Friday game between Texas A&M and Texas, the No. 3 and 17-ranked teams, respectively. This should be a great battle between inter-state rivals, so let’s get into our top picks!
Arch Manning’s season has been something of a roller coaster. He’s looked amazing at times, which includes his 389-yard performance against Arkansas last week, but he’s also had some rough games, such as his 170-yard outing against Ohio State. We think his output in this one is going to be somewhere in between those two performances, but with Texas A&M allowing less than 200 passing yards per game on the year, we’re ultimately fading his yardage. This game could be lower-scoring than people realize, and Manning’s lack of passing numbers could be a big reason why.
While we’re fading Manning in this game, we’re going full-speed ahead for Marcel Reed, who is putting together a fantastic season. He’s thrown 25 touchdowns to just 8 interceptions, and he has several performances on the season that give us confidence that he will throw for 235+ in this game. One such game was a 439-yard showcase against South Carolina, and with Texas allowing more than 240 passing yards per game on the season, we’re riding with the hot hand to put up some solid numbers.
We’re projecting Reed to have a big game, and it only makes sense to pair that prop with a prop for his favorite target, KC Concepcion. Concepcion leads the team in receptions and yards and is a reliable player Reed can trust in any situation. This is a massive game for A&M as they look to keep their perfect season alive, and we expect Reed to get the ball in the hands of his best guys. Look for Concepcion to have a great game as a result, easily going over this line of 63.5 yards.
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