We have made it to Week 7 of the College Football season, and it’s been a great year thus far! Several teams have established themselves as legitimate title threats, while others are taking their time to get fully unlocked and ready for the postseason. Regardless of where teams stand, there is a lot of ball left to be played, and we’re excited to watch this week’s action go down.
With so many games on the slate featuring ranked opponents, we had a hard time figuring out which ones we wanted to hone in on, but we have seemed to find a winner in the matchup between Alabama and Missouri. Both teams are in the top 15, which indicates that this should be a good one, especially considering the over/under of 51.5.
With all of that in mind, let’s head over to Underdog and get into our top player props from this game!
At first glance, it might seem strange to take the under on Beau Pribula’s passing yardage total. He has played well all season and has had 200+ yards in three of five games to this point.
However, Alabama’s defense is really, really good. They allow the third-fewest passing yards in college football this year, giving up an impressive 130.4 yards per game.
They’ll be all over Pribula in this one, making it difficult for him to get to 150, let alone 201. We’re betting on the Bama defense to dominate him, taking the under in this spot.
We hate taking two unders for quarterbacks in the same game, but it just doesn’t seem likely that Ty Simpson is going to overcome Missouri’s pass defense.
They’re also a top-10 unit, giving up less than 160 yards per game. Simpson has been fantastic this year, of course, but his line is a bit rich for us.
He could still have a solid game and have 250-275 yards, but that puts him under his projection, which is what we’re ultimately taking in this one.
We faded Jam Miller last week, and he went off for 136 yards on the ground. We’re not going to make that mistake again, even against Missouri’s defense, so we’re definitely riding with the over on his rushing total.
This might be one of his lowest lines for the rest of the year, given that he’s healthy now, and we’re more than confident in taking this over as long as it’s at a discounted price. Look for Miller to be a catalyst for Alabama on the ground in this game, easily going over on this projection.