Happy Tuesday, sports betting family! Monday was a nice night for us on the college hardwood, as our player props went 1-0 to run our record to 51-44 on the season. That brings our overall profit up to +0.44 units.
Thankfully, Robert Morris's Josh Omojafo got us to the cash-out window, as he finished with 10 points to give us a winning night. Robert Morris ended up pulling out the W in overtime in a game that was really fun to watch.
Tuesday's card features some action from both the Big 12 and ACC conference tournaments. Let's put them in the win column today, my friends. Best of luck!
Cincinnati vs. OK State: 12:30 pm ET • ESPN+
This is kind of an odd matchup because these two teams just played against each other three days ago on March 8th. Thompson shot the ball decently in that contest on his way to 16 points.
However, I don't see him doing that type of damage on Tuesday afternoon in the Opening Round of the Big 12 tournament. Thompson is a skilled scorer, but his median point total this season is just 11.
That's 3.5 implied points of value in my book, especially when we consider Cincy's tough defense. The Bearcats rank 36th in defensive efficiency and 22nd in points allowed. Let's kickstart our day with an Under!
Thompson is 17-14 to the Under vs. this line in '24-25.
Thompson only plays around 28 minutes per game.
Thompson has gone Under this line in 3 of his 4 neutral site games this year.
Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame: 2:00 pm ET • ACC Network
I was kind of torn on whether to go with Leggett or Jaland Lowe on this one. My numbers show some value on both of their Overs, but I settled on Leggett because he's a senior and a better overall shooter.
Leggett's median point total is 17 this season, but I think that number should be adjusted upward because of Notre Dame's terrible defense. The Fighting Irish rank just 295th in two-point defense and not much better in defensive efficiency (236th).
Lastly, Leggett should have some good vibes against Notre Dame. He put up 21 points against them on February 22nd. The Irish should also be exhausted after playing a 4 OT game against Cal a few days ago.
Leggett is 19-11 to the Over vs. this line in '24-25.
Leggett has gone Over this line in 11 of 18 ACC games.
Leggett is 2-0 to the Over vs. this line in neutral-site games.
Cal vs Virginia Tech: 4:30 pm ET • ACC Network
Let's wrap up the Tuesday card with another Over. Stojakovic is Cal's best overall scorer, so I was a little bit surprised to see this number posted so low. He scored 24 against Virginia Tech back on January 11th and I could see him having another nice game today against the Hokies.
Stojakovic is pretty tall for a guard (6'7"), so he shouldn't have any trouble finding some open shots against Tech's backcourt. The Hokies rank just 322nd in two-point defense and 270th in defensive efficiency, so Stojakovic shouldn't have any problem going over this total.
Stojakovic is 18-9 to the Over vs. this line in '24-25.
Stojakovic has gone Over this total in 4 of his last 6 outings.
Stojakovic has gone Over this line in 8 of his 13 road/neutral games this year.