For the fourth time this year, the San Antonio Spurs (27-12) will play against the Oklahoma City Thunder (33-7) on Tuesday.
Thus far, San Antonio has dominated the series. The Spurs have won all three games against the Thunder, including the Western Conference final of the NBA Cup. They’ll need that edge because San Antonio is just 4-5 in their previous nine games.
Oklahoma City comes in as the hotter team. The Thunder have lost to only four other teams during the regular season, including a pair of games earlier this month. Sandwiching their skid is a pair of winning streaks, helping the Western Conference’s best team earn a 7-2 mark over their past nine outings.
Can the Thunder upend the Spurs for their first victory over San Antonio this season? We’ll cover that and provide bettors with our top three player props for Tuesday’s game.
After health issues derailed Victor Wembanyama last season, the Spurs’ 7-foot-5 forward hasn’t been slowed once he made his debut in 2025. He’s averaging 24.3 points, 11.1 rebounds, and 3.1 assists through 25 games.
He has not been dominant against the Thunder this season, however. Oklahoma City has held him to 17.7 points in three games, preventing him from scoring more than 22 points in a single outing.
Expect the Western Conference’s top team to do that again on Tuesday, preventing Wemby from finishing with more than 21 points.
For the fourth straight year, Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is having his way against the NBA. The 27-year-old is averaging 31.9 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 6.4 assists this season, numbers that are on par with his dominant 2024-2025 campaign.
Only once in three times has SGA had a strong game – by his lofty standards – against the Spurs. Add to that the reigning MVP has struggled in January, averaging just 6.6 assists and 2.8 rebounds thus far.
That’s why individuals should take the 6-foot-6 phenom to have a below-average game against the Spurs, failing to cover this prop bet.
Another reason NBA fans appreciate this matchup is that Wembanyama’s top competition for the Rookie of the Year award was Oklahoma City’s Chet Holmgren. Wemby edged the 7-foot-1 center from Gonzaga in that matchup.
This year, Holmgren is coming into his own, posting career-best totals with 18.1 points and 8.3 rebounds. He’s been nowhere near those totals against the Spurs, however, averaging just a paltry 11.3 points and 7.3 rebounds against San Antonio.
Bettors should expect more of the same tonight, taking the center to fall short of his rebounding prop total on Tuesday.
Despite dropping three previous games to the Spurs, oddsmakers have the Thunder as the decided favorite. Sportsbooks have Oklahoma City as an 8.5-point front-runner, a curious decision despite San Antonio’s recent rough patch.
While I believe the Thunder will squeak out their first victory over the Spurs, the spread is too high. Instead, take the under on the 229.5-point combined line as Oklahoma City has yet to surpass 110 points against the Spurs this season.