Happy Friday, sports betting family! We hope you had a fantastic week betting on some Major League Baseball. We've had an up-and-down week so far and need to bag some winners after going 0-1 yesterday.
We're currently sitting at 106-88 on the year with our MLB player props. July was good to us, as our ROI finished over +5%. Let's buckle up for a nice stretch run before our focus turns to college football and the NFL once September rolls around.
Check out our 4 player props for August 1st below. Best of luck with all your weekend MLB action.
MIL at WSH - 6:45 PM EDT
This is a great spot to fade Parker, who has one of the highest hard-hit rates in baseball this year. The Brew Crew hits lefties pretty well, as they rank 10th in WRC+ against southpaws. They also rank 9th in offense overall over the last 30 days.
Back to Parker, his median earned runs allowed this season is 3, and he's gone over this total in 13 of his 21 starts. The Over has also cashed in 4 of his last 6 outings.
Throw in the fact that Milwaukee has an expected batting average of .364 against Parker, and you can see why I'm so high on the Over. Let's cheer for a big game from Christian Yelich.
HOU at BOS - 7:10 PM EDT
The Red Sox have burned me the last few times I've faded them in the strikeouts department, but that won't keep me from betting on a true workhorse like Hunter Brown. The young righty has a median K number of 8 this season, so I was a bit taken aback to find this number so low.
I get that Boston has a good offense and that they're more dangerous in the hitter-friendly confines of Fenway Park. That being said, Brown has the stuff to keep this lineup on their toes, and I could see him pitching a fabulous game here on the road.
Brown's K-rate ranks in the 92nd percentile, and Boston owns the 4th-highest strikeout rate in MLB versus righties. The BoSox also have the 3rd-highest fan rate over the last two weeks. This Over looks "Real Nice, Clark."
MIN at CLE - 7:10 PM EDT
I'm president of the Joe Ryan Fan Club, and I'm betting (pun-intended) that he may be a bit salty after yesterday's trade rumors. The Red Sox tried their best to lure him away from the Twins, but that would-be trade fizzled out just before the deadline.
Ryan is one of those guys who always has overwhelmingly good advanced stats, and this year is no different. He ranks among the AL leaders in K-rate and walk rate, and his splitter is pretty nasty when he's on.
I'll keep fading the Guardians' bats as often as possible because they've been flat-out terrible all season long. Cleveland ranks just 26th in WRC+ against righties this year, so look for Ryan to dominate. Let's hold our breath and play this Under!
SF at NYM - 7:10 PM EDT
Ray just faced the Mets last week, so that could hurt us in this spot. However, I just haven't been that impressed with New York's offense this season against southpaws. The Metamucils rank just 26th in WRC+ over the last 14 days, so Ray could turn in another solid outing against them.
This earned runs line is 16-6 to the Under in Ray's 22 starts so far this season. The veteran lefty has also been in excellent current form, as he's allowed 2 earned runs or less in 5 of his last 6 outings.
Lastly, Ray has been a true road warrior this year. He's stayed under this total in 7 of his 10 starts on the highway. This Under looks awfully good to me. Let's cash!