MLB Friday 4.22 Stats Insights: Brewers vs Phillies, Freddy Peralta & Ranger Suarez; Harper, Hoskins seek hits
Today's contest between the Phillies and the Brewers pits THE BAT's #17-ranked SP (Freddy Peralta) against the #49-ranked SP (Ranger Suarez). The rundown on Peralta tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 52.3% of the time and keeps hitters off balance with a slider (26.2%). Suarez is a sinker guy (44.7%) who brings a changeup as his most-trusted secondary offering. Advanced stats (namely, FIP) tell us that Peralta deserves something like a 5.07 ERA, compared to his actual ERA of 11.57. On that front, Suarez's ERA sits at 5.87 and his FIP at 5.03.
Brewers Insights:
Former Phillie Andrew McCutchen has exhibited some bad exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 95.4-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls over the past 7 days.
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Freddy Peralta projects as the 8th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball as it relates to his strikeout ability, according to THE BAT.market
Phillies Insights:
Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-lowest humidity on the slate today at 38%.
Matt Vierling is very fast, putting him in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.87 ft/sec this year.market
Ranger Suarez has been lucky with his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting an 8.86 K/9 despite THE BAT estimating his true talent level to be 7.46 — a 1.4 K/9 gap.
NEW! Bettors Insider recommends OddsJam!
OddsJam is an odds comparison company that offers tools to help sports bettors become more profitable. OddsJam is the best tool for line shopping to get the best odds to become a more profitable sports bettor. We love their Arbitrage Alerts, which give you a real chance to make money using math and not your gut. Bet like a hedge fund manager! Sign up for OddsJam here!
PointsBet is NOW LIVE in Pennsylvania!
2 RISK-Free Bets up to $2,000!
1st bet matched up to $1,500, 2nd bet matched up to $500.
Sign up here!
Sign Up With Caesars! NOW LIVE in Illinois!
Bettors Insider is in the process of getting licensed in more states, but if you're in New York, New Jersey, Tennessee, Illinois or Iowa, and you're not signed up with Caesars Sportsbook, what are you waiting for? The commercials with JB Smoove, Halle Berry and the Mannings alone are worth a sign-up. And there are all kinds of perks. You can sign-up here.
Cut the Cord, Save money with Fubo TV
Fubo TV has lots of channels, tons of sports, a great price and a free trial. What could be better? Sign up for a FREE TRIAL of Fubo TV here. No hidden fees, Cancel anytime.Loyola