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God's Tipster's Wednesday Keeneland Pick: The 8th race is a turf sprint with an improving 3yo filly longshot

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God's Tipster
God's Tipster is the Betting God's US Racing expert.

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We’re back to start another exciting week of racing from around the United States. We’ll kick things off with an 8 race card from Keeneland where we’re expecting fast and firm conditions beneath sunny skies. Let’s goooo!!

Wednesday at Keeneland:

Race 8: Ball Gown - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 30/1)

Speed figure purists will need to look away as Ball Gown is behind a few of the top speed figure earners in here but this 30/1 shot on the morning line owns something nobody else in the field has and that’s improvement with every start. This runner debuted in the slop at Churchill Downs, then tried polytrack towards the end of last year. Since returning from a break she’s been fed a steady diet of turf sprint races and she’s improved in each, culminating with an easy-looking win last time out defeating next-out winner Icy River. She should have the run of the race as a few of these like to hear their hooves rattle early. The Vickie Oliver barn wins with 20% of their last out winners at an average payoff of $11.97. She’ll have to improve once again but she also didn’t look like she was being asked for her maximum effort last time so more speed figure improvement should be there and she will be moving late.

Best of luck to everyone playing Wednesday’s races from Keeneland!

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