Maiden America 1.06.22
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Two from Gulfstream today
Race 4 - $60K Maiden Special
3yo fillies going one mile and seventy yards on synthetic
1-Miss You Ella (8/5) is going to be bet down because of her 89 Equibase last out, Chad Brown, and Irad. However, that last race was on turf, and although my data is light (14 entries and 2 winners), I am still unconvinced that turf to synthetic is better than dirt to synthetic. I am going with Ella’s stablemate 5-Star Of India (5/2). Bought for $575K in September 2020’s yearling sale, I am surprised, with her breeding (Medaglia d’Oro/Galileo) that she went for that low of a price. If she stays healthy, watch out.
Race 5 - $60K Maiden Special
3yo’s going one mile on turf
This is not necessarily the Derby trail, however, Rock Your World started on turf last year, so you never know. I am going with 9-Sousa Summer (10/1) and contradicting my diatribe about turf to synthetic for this reason – he led throughout the race and Hector Berrios wrestled with this Summer Colt as he drifted in the stretch before tiring to fourth place. Today, he gets one half of a furlong less to contend with.
Happy Hunting!