Monday at the track: RT picks 2 races at Fort Erie using the SmartCap system

I will be back later for tonight’s pick five from Assiniboia.

For now, given the number of tracks that are predicted to have rain, I am going north of the border to Ft. Erie, which sits on the Niagara River, across the border from Buffalo.

Fort Erie: Race 2 – 3yo+ NWx going 8.5f, post time 1:38 pm EDT

If you believe the algorithms of STATS Race Lens, then the huge favorite is the one to beat. I’m of the opinion that he is a vulnerable favorite to the #2 Magical Breeze (2/1).

22% trainer Sharon Ceccata has this horse moving in the right direction, bringing him back from a long layoff to a 6f event and then moved up in class and distance to run an even third last out. Looking over the pp’s, almost every time that #4 Narrow Escape (9/5) has had to run the extra forty yards, to today’s distance, he fades off.

Fort Erie: Race 4 – 3yo+ NWx going 6.5f, post time 2:34 pm EDT

I’m a buyer of #5 Love That Lute (3/1) over #3 Marcus. Every time I see STATS Race Lens bending this far to one side, it typically ends up losing. Additionally, #5 gets a twelve-pound weight break in this and that will be critical. SmartCap has Love That Lute with best overall class, near best speed and this class drop fits.

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