O'Sullivan's Sunday WNBA Playoffs Picks: Sky vs Sun – look for Courtney Williams to go off – Aces vs Storm

Chicago Sky at Connecticut Sun, 1 pm Eastern, Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm, 3 pm.
Sun Rising: Courtney Williams of the Connecticut Sun.
Sun Rising: Courtney Williams of the Connecticut Sun.@ConnecticutSun on Twitter.

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Follow my picks on Twitter: @OSullyPicks

Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Regular Season/Playoffs: 141-98-2, +$226.10

Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Playoffs so far: 6-8, -$9.78

(Sunday: 1-1, +$9.77)

(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)

Chicago Sky at Connecticut Sun, 1 pm Eastern

The Pick: Connecticut -1 (-114), bet $11.40 to win $10.03

(blinks) I mean…I guess the books have Connecticut favored, so the disrespect isn’t too severe…But I still think everyone is underestimating the Sun way too much. Yes, they lost Game Two. But they only lost by eight points, after being down 15 at halftime, after already “stealing” Game One. The Sun had already taken care of business and stolen home court. They also missed eight free throws. They’re 14-6 at home. They were a better defensive team during the regular season. I mean, (blinks). I like guard Courtney Williams to have a big game; she went 3-10 from the field on Wednesday and that can’t sit well with her. Chicago has not dominated this season like they did last postseason; it’s a different team. In fact, I like the Sun enough to…

Connecticut Sun to win series (+112), bet $22.32 to win $25

…hop on what is good value and take them to win this series. The Sun now have two games at home. I think the two teams are essentially even. You’re gonna give me value with an equal team playing the next two at home? Uh. Okay.

Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm, 3 pm Eastern

The Pick: Las Vegas +1.5 (-110), bet $16.50 to win $15

I mean…I get this line. I just disagree with it. Substantially. Imagine me in my office, staring at my computer monitor, shaking my fist in the air in disagreement. I’m typing this with one hand, for heaven’s sake. Connecticut and Chicago are evenly matched teams. Las Vegas and Seattle are not. The Aces are better. Yes, they lost Game One (I shook my fist at that, too). But it was one game. They took care of business in Game Two and I think they have their focus back. Also, please do not forget what I’ve been saying for two seasons now - Seattle is not an automatic cover at home. This season, they’re 11-8-1 ATS at home, by no means an indication they should be favored against the best team in the league. Las Vegas has won seven of eight games and six of eight ATS on the road. I mean, I’ll take money when these lines are dumb (please look at my record again before you snark). But I’m not going to be happy I have to do it. (shakes fist) Oh, wait - no, I’m fine with it. (raises fist in air in triumph)

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