O'Sullivan's Wednesday WNBA Playoffs Picks: Sun v Sky, Storm v Aces; Home teams need Game 2 wins after upsets

Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky, 8 pm Eastern, Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces, 10 pm.
Candace Parker had a HUGE game against the Sun in Game 1, but it wasn't enough for the Sky.
Candace Parker had a HUGE game against the Sun in Game 1, but it wasn't enough for the Sky.@chicagosky on Twitter

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Follow my picks on Twitter: @OSullyPicks

Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Regular Season/Playoffs: 141-98-2, +$216.33

Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Playoffs so far: 5-7, -$19.55

(Sunday: 1-1, -$2.98)

(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)

Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky, 8 pm Eastern

The Pick: Connecticut +4.5 (-105), bet $6 to win $5.71

This line is like the opposite of recency bias. It’s regarding only that Chicago had a great regular season and surprised everyone last year when they surprised Connecticut and beat them in the playoffs. Call it “stubborncy bias,” I guess (copyright that!). The Sun have been waiting all year for another crack at the Sky, with the memory of being deprived their chance at a championship last season. Sunday, they took it to Chicago, holding the Sky to 35.3% shooting. They slowed the game down and made it somewhat of a rock fight. They’ll do it again tonight. The Sky must have this game, so I’m not saying Connecticut will win again. But they’re better than everyone’s giving them credit for – and they have long memories.

Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces, 10 pm Eastern

The Pick: Las Vegas -260, bet $41 to win $15.77

For the most part, I’ve stayed away from moneylines all season. But tonight is a special case. Las Vegas was upset in Game 1 on Sunday and absolutely must have tonight’s game. On Sunday, Seattle kinda took it to them in the first quarter, building an 11-point lead. That won’t happen tonight. Storm guard Jewel Loyd had 26 points; that won’t happen tonight. The Aces are the better team, they’ve been better all season, and if this is going to be a series, they simply have to have this one. I see no way WNBA Coach of the Year Becky Hammon doesn’t have her squad ready tonight. I’ll take a deep breath and pay a steep price not to have to worry about point spreads. Because in a way, I need this game too.

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