Sun Rising: Courtney Williams of the Connecticut Sun.
Sun Rising: Courtney Williams of the Connecticut Sun.@ConnecticutSun on Twitter.

O'Sullivan's Wednesday WNBA Playoffs Pick: Sun vs Wings – Favored Connecticut looks for series win in Dallas

Connecticut Sun at Dallas Wings, 9 pm Eastern.

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Follow my picks on Twitter: @OSullyPicks

Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Regular Season/Playoffs: 139-97-2, +$209.31

Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Playoffs so far: 3-6, -$26.57

(Yesterday: 0-1, -$10)

(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)

Connecticut Sun at Dallas Wings, 9 pm Eastern

The Pick: Connecticut -5.5 (-112), bet $11.20 to win $10

This season, you would’ve almost broken even betting the WNBA if you just blindly went with underdogs - they went 116-107-3 against the spread (52%). But you would’ve done even better just blindly betting on the away team: 119-104-3 (53.4%). Those are the two stats I’ve been looking at trying to make a decision for this game, and ultimately even though Dallas is a feisty team and a home dog tonight, the line coming down to 5.5 is enough for me to go with the Sun. As feisty as Dallas is, I don’t trust them in a Game Three. Not that they won’t fight - they will. But they haven’t really been here before, and Connecticut has. I’m also going against the conventional wisdom a bit. The line started at Sun -7 and has come down 1.5 points. If it were Dallas +7, I would’ve taken it. But it’s come down to the range where I think the Sun will handle it. I expect a tight game with Connecticut pulling away late. They’re the better team and have more experience.

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