The Liberty have been showing off some game recently. Can they continue their strong play against the Dream?
The Liberty have been showing off some game recently. Can they continue their strong play against the Dream?@nyliberty on Twitter

O'Sullivan's Thursday WNBA Pick: Dream vs Liberty: New York pounded Atlanta last week – fluke or legit?

Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty, 7 pm Eastern.

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Follow my picks on Twitter: @OSullyPicks

Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Season so far: 72-50, +$151.19

(Yesterday: 2-1, +$14.00)

(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)

Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty, 7 pm Eastern

The Pick: Atlanta +5.5 (-118), bet $7.50 to win $6.38

Try to look around to make sure you can get 5.5 points if you can, but I’d take Atlanta even if the spread is only 5. The Dream have an above .500 record against the spread on the road, first of all. Second, this line is swollen with recency bias. Yes, New York beat Atlanta by 12 last week. But that was due mainly to a first quarter where the Liberty outscored the Dream 33-16. I don’t think that’s going to happen again. Atlanta also got out-rebounded 39-30, and since their rebounding percentage is 3rd in the WNBA (51.1%) against New York’s ninth (48.7%), I don’t think that’s gonna happen again either. New York has been playing better, true. But they started out so bad they couldn’t help but improve. I think the Dream is younger but more talented. Take that extra point and ride the underdog.

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