Bet Thursday La Liga: Feinting the Line picks Granada vs Eibar
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Granada v. Eibar | La Liga | 3:00 pm ET
THE PLAY: Granada PK @ -108 | .35u
THE PLAY: Granada ML @ +185 | .35u
Granada hosts an ailing Eibar side who has failed to win in fourteen straight league attempts and bottoms out the Spanish top competition table with a joint-worst 22 goals.
Our streak moves to eleven consecutive plus closing line value selections. The Granada draw no bet price has shortened to -139 at MarathonBet. Consequently, we claim $.21 (or .21u) of closing line value on that selection. The ML has shortened to +145 at William Hill, so we gain a clean $.40 (or .4u) of closing line value on that selection at the time of writing.
Although a ML price of +185 suggests a probability of 35.1% for our desired outcome, we estimate Diego Martinez’ Granada wins similarly poised matches at a 38.2% - 39.55% clip. Accordingly, we approximate a value edge of 3.1% - 4.45% on the ML play.
Granada PK @ -108 | .35u
Granada ML @ +185 | .35u
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