Feinting the Line Thursday: Israel vs Denmark in World Cup, England vs Switzerland, France vs Denmark in U21s
Munas Dabbur of the Israeil national team will face a challenge in Denmark.YouTube.com

Feinting the Line Thursday: Israel vs Denmark in World Cup, England vs Switzerland, France vs Denmark in U21s

Israel v. Denmark, UEFA World Cup Qualifier, 1 pm EDT. In U21 European Championship Qualifiers: England v. Switzerland, 10 am; France v. Denmark, 4 pm; Portugal v. Croatia, 4 pm

Feinting the Line International Picks for Gameday 3.25.21

If you plan on tailing, please do so with responsibility and caution. Before you tail, please read our introduction post on Bettors Insider describing who we are, our history, and our betting style. Additionally, check out @FeintingtheLine on Twitter. Best of luck with all your plays.

England v. Switzerland | U21 European Championship Qualifier| 10:00 am ET

THE PLAY: England -1 @ +110 | .3u

This play is still available at a price of +104 at 888sport and bet365, offering solid value opportunity for late players. We back Callum Hudson-Odoi and the talented baby Three Lions. We consider the spot valuable at any plus money opportunities.

Israel v. Denmark | UEFA World Cup Qualifier | 1:00 pm ET

THE PLAY: Denmark ML @ -110 | .5u

THE PLAY: Denmark -1 @ +190 | .5u

Munas Dabbur and Eran Zahavi provide a formidable attacking threat for the Israelis while Martin Braithwaite, Yussuf Poulsen, and Christian Eriksen will lead Denmark’s search for the back of the net. Denmark should prove a tough nut to crack, however, with a double pivot security blanket of Thomas Delaney and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg sweeping up in front of Captain Simon Kjaer.

We estimate Denmark wins similarly situated matches at a 57.7% - 59.25% clip. Accordingly, we estimate a value edge of 5.3% - 6.85% on the ML price of -110 based on an implied probability of 52.4%.

Our value claims are substantiated by significant closing line value accrued. We have garnered $.23 or (.23u) of closing line value on the ML play and $.46 (or .46u) of closing line value on the alternate line bet. Best prices now reside at Pinnacle at -133 and +144, respectively, with value having evaporated.

France v. Denmark | U21 European Championship Qualifier| 4:00 pm ET

THE PLAY: France -1 @ +110 | .3u

Our early trust in the ridiculously-armed French kiddos has been rewarded with marginal closing line value as the best price available has slipped to -102 on Pinnacle. Consequently, we claim $.12 or (.12u) of closing line value.

Portugal v. Croatia | U21 European Championship Qualifier| 4:00 pm ET

THE PLAY: Portugal -1 @ +168 | .3u

Best price available for the play now resides at Pinnacle at +152. Another marginal value snag here as we accumulate $.16 (or .16u) of closing line value.

THE PLAYS

England -1 @ +110 | .3u

Denmark ML @ -110 | .5u

Denmark -1 @ +190 | .5u

France -1 @ +110 | .3u

Portugal -1 @ +168 | .3u

*To stay abreast on updates to plays, closing line value updates, results spreadsheets, and all Feinting the Line content, check out @FeintingtheLine on Twitter.

No stories found.
Bettors Insider
www.bettorsinsider.com