Feinting the Line's picks part 2: Lille v Strasbourg, Marseille v Lyon, Sheffield United v Liverpool, & more
If you plan on tailing, please do so with responsibility and caution. Before you tail, please read our introduction post on Bettors Insider describing who we are, our history, and our betting style. Additionally, check out @FeintingtheLine on Twitter. Best of luck with all your plays.
Lille v. Racing Strasbourg | Ligue One | 11:05 am ET
Marseille v. Lyon| Ligue One | 1:00 pm ET
THE PLAY: Parlay: Lille -1 (+183) & Lyon -1 (+155) @ +621 | .25u
We have produced a joint $.65 (or.65u) of closing line value on this play. Hope you took early here as singles or together.
Sheffield United v. Liverpool | Premier League | 2:15 pm ET
THE PLAY: Liverpool win to nil @ +175 | .4u
Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool is a far cry from its World Champion form, but Sheffield United has managed to be shutout in a Premier League high fourteen matches this season. That is right, fourteen of Sheffield United’s twenty league losses saw Chris Wilder’s team goalless.
Sheffield rests bottom of the table as Liverpool looks to secure a necessary three points in its bid for Champions League football next season via the top four.
This price has slipped to a best available of +130. Accordingly, we claim $.35 (or .35u) of closing line value on these plays. If you have followed FtL this season, you will know that our shutout win prop bets have consistently produced loads of closing line value and profit. It will be exciting to assess these numbers when we breakdown our bet data after the season.
AC Milan v. Roma | Serie A | 2:45 pm ET
THE PLAY: AC Milan PK @ +116 | .5u
THE PLAY: AC Milan ML @ +205 | .5u
These prices are still available. Although Milan is on shaky form at best with its league title hopes dwindling to the likes of Inter Milan over the past couple of weeks, we believe these spots provide significant value opportunities.
We approximate a 4.25% -5% value edge on the ML spot at +205 considering an implied probability of 32.8%.
We hope Stefano Piolo can right the ship.