Feinting the Line Tuesday Premier League pick offers a big-pay 3-play parlay for Crystal Palace vs West Ham
West Ham's Michail Antonio, centre, celebrates after scoring his side's second goal during an English Premier League soccer match between West Ham and West Bromwich Albion at the London Stadium in London, England, Tuesday Jan.19, 2021. Matthew Childs/Pool via Associated Press

Feinting the Line Tuesday Premier League pick offers a big-pay 3-play parlay for Crystal Palace vs West Ham

Crystal Palace v. West Ham / Premier League, Tuesday, 1 pm EST.

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Crystal Palace v. West Ham | Premier League

THE PLAY: West Ham ML @ +150 | .425u

THE PLAY: Parlay West Ham ML & Michail Antonio Anytime Goal Scorer & Michail Antonio>Christian Benteke shot attempts @ +1187 | .1u

West Ham’s ML has risen $.08 (or .08u) to a best price of +142 at MarathonBet. Maybe we can catch some actual Closing Line Value in the hours leading up to the game. If not, we remain confident that West Ham wins similarly situated fixtures at a higher than 40% clip. The ML @ +150 provides some value considering a comparison of implied to actual probability.

If David Moyes’ in-form West Ham does emerge victorious, do-it-all number nine Michail Antonio will have more than likely graced the scoresheet. We take a punt here. The overall parlay price was computed using prices of +142, +195, and +120 (available at time of posting) for each leg of the parlay respectively. An industry-weighted average standard price mitigation multiplier was used to compute parlay price due to mitigating same-game and contributing-play factors. Please avoid this play if you are on a book, such as Bovada -- which we are not knocking as they have better prices comparatively on other types of plays -- that overprices same-game and contributing play price-mitigation factors.

THE PLAYS

West Ham ML @ +150 | .425u

Parlay West Ham ML & Michail Antonio Anytime Goal Scorer & Michail Antonio>Christian Benteke shot attempts @ +1172 | .1u

*To stay abreast on updates to plays, closing line value updates, results spreadsheets, and all Feinting the Line content, check out @FeintingtheLine on Twitter.

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