Friday Bundesliga pick of the day from Kearns: Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen
Union's Sheraldo Becker, left, in action against Dortmund's Emre Can during the German Bundesliga soccer match between 1. FC Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund at the Stadion Alte Forsterei in Berlin, Friday, Dec. 18, 2020.Soeren Stache | Pool via Associated Press

Friday Bundesliga pick of the day from Kearns: Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen starts at 2:30 pm EST

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen

In what is sure to be a star-studded affair, Union Berlin host Bayer Leverkusen at the Stadion An der Alten Forsteri. In its only 2nd season in the Bundesliga, Union Berlin find themselves in the top 5 and in Europe competition after a splendid start to the season. Union Berlin seems to be the real deal and the attacking quality that they have demonstrated is wonderful to watch. This attacking style has led them to score an average of 2.07 goals a game. In their last fixture, Union Berlin played out a 2-2 draw with Wolfsburg which made it 6 games unbeaten and 15 league games where they have scored one goal. The one caveat to this team is their defense and their tendency to leak one goal. Union concedes an average of 1.07 goals a game.

As for Bayer Leverkusen, they picked up a good result and much needed confidence over the mid-week when they won 4-1 in the DFB Pokal versus Eintracht Frankfurt. Prior to this win, Leverkusen saw a dip in form where they only gained 1 point from the last 3 league games. For me, they were unlucky to garner any points from the last 2 games as they dominated both games. For this game, I see Leverkusen sticking to their attacking style which has led them to an average of 2 goals a game.

With both teams attacking fronts and their proneness to concede, I see a 2-1 or 2-2 type of game.

PREDICTION STATS:

  • Home/Away BTTS average is 63%

  • Home/Away average for over 2.5 is 69%

  • In 12 out of 15 (80%) Union matches have had BTTS

  • In 10 out of 15 (67%) Leverkusen matches have had BTTS

  • 3 of 4 H2H matchups (75%) were over 2.5 goals

THE PICKS:

Over 2.5 – 115

BTTS – 145

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