Friday preliminary picks from Feinting the Line: Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen and Montpellier vs AS Monaco

Feinting the Line Preliminary Picks for Gameday 1.15.21

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Montpellier vs. AS Monaco | Ligue 1

THE PLAY: Montpellier/AS Monaco o2.5 -120 | .5u

THE PLAY: Montpellier/AS Monaco 1H o1.5 @ +190 | .2u

Monaco is back to positive league form after its past two games with eight goals. We are anticipating the high intensity style of both teams to produce goals. Four of Montpellier’s past five games against teams in the top half of the table saw the o2.5 hit.

Union Berlin vs. Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga

THE PLAY: Union Berlin/Bayer Leverkusen o2.5 +112 | 1u

This play has garnered significant closing line value since we posted it on our twitter page on Tuesday, January 12. Best price available now for the o2.5 is -110. Twelve of Union Berlin’s past sixteen games in all competitions cashed the o2.5 line while thirteen of Bayer Leverkusen’s games cashed the o2.5 line in the same number of games. We estimate a 50% to 60% chance for three goals or more in this match. This percentage indicates value at a price of +112 considering an implied probability of 47.2% by the bookmakers.

THE PLAYS

Montpellier/AS Monaco o2.5 -120 | .5u

Montpellier/AS Monaco 1H o1.5 @ +190 | .2u

Union Berlin/Bayer Leverkusen o2.5 +112 | 1u

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