Monaco's Sofiane Diop reacts as he is tackled by Marseille's Valere Germain, right, during the French League One soccer match between Marseille and Monaco at the Stade Velodrome in Marseille, southern France, Saturday Dec. 12, 2020.
Monaco's Sofiane Diop reacts as he is tackled by Marseille's Valere Germain, right, during the French League One soccer match between Marseille and Monaco at the Stade Velodrome in Marseille, southern France, Saturday Dec. 12, 2020. Associated Press Photo/Daniel Cole

Saturday soccer: Feinting the Line Picks 4 Ligue 1 matches, plus Serie A and La Liga

Dijon FCO vs Marseille starts at 3 pm EST.

If you plan on tailing, please do so with responsibility and caution. Before you tail, please read our introduction post on Bettors Insider describing who we are, our history, and our betting style. Additionally, check out @FeintingtheLine on Twitter. Best of luck with all your plays.

Dijon FCO v. Marseille | Ligue 1

THE PLAY: Olympique Marseille -1 @ +195 | .4u

THE PLAY: Olympique Marseille ML @ Even | .4u

THE PLAY: Dijon FCO/Olympique Marseille o3 @ +205 | .3u

THE PLAY: Olympique Marseille TT o2 @ +225 | .2u

THE PLAY: Olympique Marseille TT o3 @ +775 | .2u

THE PLAY: Olympique Marseille 1H -1 @ +570 | .2u

Olympique Marseille is a different squad when Thuavin and Payet play together. We play early in anticipation of these two in the Starting XI. Papa Gueye has been on scorching form as well running the middle of the park. The Olympique Marseille v. Montpellier game was the most intense, physical, and fast-paced Ligue 1 game I have watched all season. If Olympique Marseille come out with that motor against a Dijon team that sits in, then one early goal could open the floodgates. An early Marseille goal busts the bookies and pads our pocketbooks here. Please notice and follow bankroll management with this play and all our plays. Even though we are playing Marseille multiple ways, we are still only placing 1.4u combined directly “on” Marseille. These plays are not guaranteeing Marseille will iwn.

Stade Rennes v. Lyon | Ligue 1

THE PLAY: Lyon ML @ +150 | .5u

THE PLAY: Lyon -1 @ +245 | .5u

Lyon should out man Rennes here, but betting against a dynamic, game-changing midfielder like Eduardo Camavinga on-form is not for the weary.

Nimes v. Lille | Ligue 1

THE PLAY: Lille -1 @ -125 | .2u

THE PLAY: Lille 1H -1 @ +270 | .2u

We bank on Lille to out-class Nimes in these low confidence plays.

AS Monaco v. Angers | Ligue 1

THE PLAY: Angers ML @ +495 | .2u

THE PLAY: Angers PK @ +260 | .25u

These teams sit even on points with the same record to this point in the league season. Both teams have played solid football at times this year, but we would argue Angers has played better ball recently. Monaco has won two of its last three, but its last 5-2 outing against Lorient was an aberration as Monaco sat even with Lorient on a red card early in the second half. We fade Monaco here because of the absence of Cesc Fabregas. We see the game as a coinflip matchup, so these big plus money odds provide solid value.

AC Milan v. Torino | Serie A

THE PLAY: AC Milan ML @ -130 | .5u

AC Milan should get back on track against relegation-threatened Torino on the back of its disappointing loss to the Bianconeri on Wednesday.

Atletico Madrid v. Athletic Bilbao | La Liga

THE PLAY: Atletico Madrid/Athletic Bilbao o2 @ Even | .5u

Atletico tend to score when Suarez plays. Cannot see Atletico being too conservative considering the performance it produced in Copa del Rey at the week. Hearing Saul Niguez will once again be dropped to the bench. Although he has had injury problems recently causing some of his lack of playing time, this is a significant development as Niguez had been considered one of the highest-class midfielders in the world during Atletico Madrid’s improbable Champions League run last year where Simeone’s side defeated the Premier League Champions and previous European holders, Liverpool. Saul has also traditionally been a favorite of Cholo; a previous shoe-in for any Atletico first-choice XI.

THE PLAYS

Olympique Marseille -1 @ +195 | .4u

Olympique Marseille ML @ Even | .4u

Dijon FCO/Olympique Marseille o3 @ +205 | .3u

Olympique Marseille TT o2 @ +225 | .2u

Olympique Marseille TT o3 @ +775 | .2u

Olympique Marseille 1H -1 @ +570 | .2u

Lyon ML @ +150 | .5u

Lyon -1 @ +245 | .5u

Lille -1 @ -125 | .2u

Lille 1H -1 @ +270 | .2u

Angers ML @ +495 | .2u

Angers PK @ +260 | .25u

AC Milan ML @ -130 | .5u

Atletico Madrid/Athletic Bilbao o2 @ Even | .5u

*To stay abreast on updates to plays, closing line value updates, results spreadsheets, and all Feinting the Line content, check out @FeintingtheLine on Twitter.

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