UCL picks from Chase: Krasnodar vs Chelsea, Ferencvaros vs Dynamo Kyiv, and Manchester United vs RB Leipzig
Chelsea and Manchester United have been all over the board this season. It is hard to predict what both teams will put out production-wise on the pitch, with performances that have left many fans with questions on if these teams are legit. I will be picking both of these games today, along with our friends in Hungary at Ferencvaros versus Dynamo Kyiv.
UEFA Champions League
Krasnodar vs. Chelsea - 1:55 PM ET
Chelsea on paper have only lost two matches in their last ten, against the English Champions Liverpool, and in penalties to Tottenham, but when you take a closer look you see that six of those games ended in draws. They have drawn their last three games and are headed to Russia tonight to face Krasnodar. Since making it out of the Champions League qualification stages, Krasnodar has lost two, won one, and drew their first group stage game in France against Rennes. I like chaos and I like underdogs. This game screams both for me, and I like for the unexpected to go our way for the early game. We will ride with Krasnodar.
The Play: Krasnodar +1.5 -105 - 1 Unit
Ferencvaros vs. Dynamo Kyiv - 4:00 PM ET
I picked Ferencvaros last week to do the unthinkable against Barcelona. Before their massive defeat, they had not lost a game since June. That is a long streak of consistent football, and I believe they have got it in them to get right back up today. Ferencvaros only have one game since the beginning of August that has had less than two goals in it. Dynamo Kyiv have had three games since May that have gone under 2 goals, and in their most recent match they won 1-0 with a red card. I think the over/under is criminally low today, and I think it is a safe bet to buy the line to over 2 due to these clubs' recent match history. Another fun fact for you - only three of the 24 games played so far in the Champions League group stages have had less than 2 goals.
The Play: Over 2 Goals -170 - 1.5 Units
Manchester United vs. RB Leipzig - 4:00 PM ET
Leipzig has not lost a game since they were knocked out of the Champions League semi-finals back in August. United surprised everyone with their 2-1 win against PSG last week, and it would be absolutely classic for them to screw this game up with their wishy washy results this season. Home teams went 5-2-1 yesterday against the spread, but were only 6-10 last week. Underdogs have done their fair share so far too, going 12-9-3 so far in the group stages covering the spread. With Leipzig's form and United's uncertainty, I am rolling with the Germans to do some damage at Old Trafford tonight.
The Play: RB Leipzig +0.5 -145 - 1 Unit