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Soccer

Belarus Cup Semis 2nd Leg: Miller picks Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Dynamo Brest

Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs. Dynamo Brest starts Wednesday at 11 a.m EDT.

Sean Miller

Sean Miller

Dynamo Brest looks to advance to third Belarus Cup final in four years against Shakhtyor Soligorsk

If you are reading this article Wednesday morning in the USA after 5:56 a.m., that means asteroid 52768 (1998 OR2) missed the planet.

Get in!!!!!

That means you can get back to the important things, like Belarus soccer. Wednesday brings both second legs of the Belarus Cup semifinals, with each home team finding itself behind in the tie.

The first match will see Dynamo Brest, the winners of this competition in 2017 and 2018, take a 2-0 advantage against Shakhtyor Soligorsk, which is the current holder of the cup.

These two teams have already played three times since March 4: Dynamo Brest won the Super Cup 2-0 and the first leg by the same score, but it was Shakhtyor Soligorsk that ran out to a 2-0 win on the road Saturday.

This series has actually been pretty even over the years, and it should be a good contest. This really is a tough match to call: while Brest is a -670 favorite to advance (Soligorsk is +375), the second leg could go either way.

One key stat I liked was this one: when the odds for Dynamo Brest to win were this high (+275), the chance it should win is 27 percent, but the White-Blues actually win in that spot 78 percent of the time.

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BELARUS CUP SEMIFINALS SECOND LEG

Shakhtyor Soligorsk (+100) vs. Dynamo Brest (+275), draw (+230), 11 a.m EDT

THE PICK:

Dynamo Brest pick (+175)

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